Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 25

Thunder vs. Spurs Game Info

• Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
• Time: 2:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: ABC and ESPN

The Western-leading Oklahoma City Thunder (26-4) are favored by 9.5 points as they look to hold off the No. 2 team in the conference, the San Antonio Spurs (22-7). The squads play Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 2:30 p.m. ET on ABC and ESPN. The matchup has an over/under of 235.5.

Thunder vs. Spurs Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (78.2%)

Thunder vs. Spurs Betting Trends

• The Thunder are 16-14-0 against the spread this season.
• The Spurs have played 29 games, with 15 wins against the spread.
• Games involving the Thunder have hit the over 16 times out of 29 chances this season.
• The Spurs have gone over the point total 51.7% of the time this season (15 of 29 games with a set point total).
• Against the spread, Oklahoma City has played better at home, covering nine times in 15 home games, and seven times in 15 road games.
• When playing at home, the Thunder eclipse the total 53.3% of the time (eight of 15 games). They hit the over in the same percentage of games on the road (eight of 15 contests).
• San Antonio's winning percentage against the spread at home is .615 (8-3-2). On the road, it is .438 (7-8-1).
• Spurs games have finished above the over/under 46.2% of the time at home (six of 13), and 56.2% of the time away (nine of 16).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.5 points, 4.8 boards and 6.6 assists.
• Chet Holmgren averages 18.2 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists, shooting 56.3% from the floor and 39.4% from downtown, with 1.5 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Ajay Mitchell averages 14.1 points, 3.6 rebounds and 3.6 assists.
• Isaiah Hartenstein averages 11.4 points, 10.6 boards and 3 assists, shooting 65.3% from the field.
• Cason Wallace averages 7.9 points, 2.9 boards and 2.2 assists, shooting 42% from the field and 35% from downtown, with 1.4 made 3-pointers per contest.

Spurs Leaders

• Per game, Victor Wembanyama provides the Spurs 23.7 points, 11.8 boards and 3.6 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 3.1 blocks.
• The Spurs get 15.8 points per game from Devin Vassell, plus 4.1 boards and 2.5 assists.
• De'Aaron Fox's numbers on the season are 21.6 points, 3.8 boards and 6.2 assists per game. He is sinking 47.3% of his shots from the field and 38.3% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.3 treys.
• The Spurs receive 18.6 points per game from Stephon Castle, plus 5.3 boards and 7 assists.
• The Spurs are receiving 13 points, 6.3 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Keldon Johnson.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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