Thunder vs. Pacers NBA Finals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for June 16

Thunder vs. Pacers Game Info

• Date: Monday, June 16, 2025
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: ABC

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 9.5-point favorites heading into Game 5 of the NBA Finals against the Indiana Pacers at Paycom Center on Monday, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The series is tied 2-2. The matchup has an over/under set at 224.5 points.

Thunder vs. Pacers Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Pacers Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (78%)

Thunder vs. Pacers Betting Trends

• The Thunder have put together a record of 54-26-2 against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Pacers are 37-43-2 this year.
• This season, 44 of the Thunder's games have gone over the point total.
• Pacers games this year have hit the over 53.7% of the time (44 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• Against the spread, Oklahoma City has fared better when playing at home, covering 29 times in 42 home games, and 25 times in 40 road games.
• The Thunder have eclipsed the over/under in 25 of 42 home games (59.5%), compared to 19 of 40 road games (47.5%).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, Indiana has a better winning percentage at home (.463, 19-21-1 record) than away (.439, 18-22-1).
• Looking at the over/under, Pacers games have finished over 53.7% of the time this year, both at home (22 of 41) and on the road (22 of 41).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.7 points, 6.4 assists and 5 boards.
• Jalen Williams' numbers on the season are 21.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest, shooting 48.4% from the field and 36.5% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.8 made treys.
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 11.2 points, 10.7 boards and 3.8 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.
• Aaron Wiggins is averaging 12 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists.
• Luguentz Dort averages 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists, shooting 43.5% from the field and 41.2% from downtown, with 2.4 made 3-pointers per game.

Pacers Leaders

• Per game, Tyrese Haliburton gives the Pacers 18.6 points, 3.5 rebounds and 9.2 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.7 blocks.
• The Pacers are receiving 20.2 points, 6.9 boards and 3.4 assists per game from Pascal Siakam.
• Myles Turner averages 15.6 points, 6.5 boards and 1.5 assists. He is draining 48.1% of his shots from the field and 39.6% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 treys per contest.
• Per game, Bennedict Mathurin gives the Pacers 16.1 points, 5.3 boards and 1.9 assists, plus 0.7 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Per game, T.J. McConnell gets the Pacers 9.1 points, 2.4 boards and 4.4 assists, plus 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocks.

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