Texas Tech vs Arkansas Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

A Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament matchup features the No. 3 Texas Tech Red Raiders (27-8) and No. 10 Arkansas Razorbacks (22-13) to decide which of the squads is heading to the West regional final when it tips off on Thursday at Chase Center, beginning at 10:09 p.m. ET, airing on TBS.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Texas Tech vs. Arkansas Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 27, 2025
• Game time: 10:09 p.m. ET
• TV channel: TBS
• Location: San Francisco, California
• Arena: Chase Center

Texas Tech vs. Arkansas Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Texas Tech win (73.9%)

See the betting trends and insights below before placing a wager on Thursday's Texas Tech-Arkansas spread (Texas Tech -5.5) or over/under (147.5 points).

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Texas Tech vs. Arkansas: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Texas Tech has won 18 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
• Arkansas has covered 18 times in 35 matchups with a spread this year.
• As a 5.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Arkansas is 7-2 against the spread compared to the 12-12 ATS record Texas Tech racks up as a 5.5-point favorite.
• The Red Raiders have done a better job covering the spread in away games (7-3-0) than they have at home (10-8-0).
• This season, the Razorbacks are 9-8-0 at home against the spread (.529 winning percentage). Away, they are 5-5-0 ATS (.500).

Texas Tech vs. Arkansas: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Texas Tech has been the moneyline favorite in 28 games this season and has come away with the win 22 times (78.6%) in those contests.
• The Red Raiders have a win-loss record of 19-3 when favored by -245 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• Arkansas has won 41.2% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (7-10).
• The Razorbacks have a record of 4-3 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +198 or longer (57.1%).
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Texas Tech has a 71% chance of pulling out a win.

Texas Tech vs. Arkansas Head-to-Head Comparison

• Texas Tech has a +463 scoring differential, topping opponents by 13.2 points per game. It is putting up 80.8 points per game to rank 28th in college basketball and is allowing 67.6 per outing to rank 53rd in college basketball.
• JT Toppin's 18.2 points per game lead Texas Tech and are 67th in college basketball.
• Arkansas puts up 76.6 points per game (100th in college basketball) while giving up 71 per contest (147th in college basketball). It has a +196 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 5.6 points per game.
• Adou Thiero's team-leading 15.7 points per game rank him 211th in the country.
• The 33.3 rebounds per game the Red Raiders average rank 95th in the country, and are 3.8 more than the 29.5 their opponents collect per outing.
• Toppin leads the team with 9.3 rebounds per game (19th in college basketball play).
• The 32.3 rebounds per game the Razorbacks accumulate rank 161st in college basketball. Their opponents record 31.9.
• Thiero is 320th in the nation with six rebounds per game, leading the Razorbacks.
• Texas Tech ranks 11th in college basketball by averaging 106 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 61st in college basketball, allowing 88.7 points per 100 possessions.
• The Razorbacks rank 142nd in college basketball with 97 points scored per 100 possessions, and 82nd defensively with 89.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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