Tennessee vs Kentucky Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

A spot in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament will go to either the No. 2 Tennessee Volunteers (29-7, 12-6 SEC) or the No. 3 Kentucky Wildcats (24-11, 10-8 SEC) when the teams meet in the Sweet 16. This contest tips off at 7:39 p.m. ET on Friday.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 28, 2025
• Game time: 7:39 p.m. ET
• TV channel: TBS
• Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
• Arena: Lucas Oil Stadium

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Tennessee win (66.1%)

Read these betting insights and trends before you wager on Friday's Tennessee-Kentucky spread (Tennessee -4.5) or total (144.5 points).

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Tennessee has covered 19 times in 36 games with a spread this season.
• Kentucky is 18-17-0 ATS this season.
• As a 4.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Kentucky is 6-4 against the spread compared to the 13-13 ATS record Tennessee racks up as a 4.5-point favorite.
• The Volunteers own a better record against the spread when playing at home (9-8-0) than they do in road games (5-6-0).
• The Wildcats have performed better against the spread at home (10-8-0) than on the road (4-6-0) this season.
• Tennessee's record against the spread in conference games is 9-12-0.
• Kentucky has covered the spread 10 times in 20 SEC games.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Tennessee has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 27 games this year and has walked away with the win 23 times (85.2%) in those games.
• The Volunteers have a mark of 19-2 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -196 or better on the moneyline.
• Kentucky has won 58.3% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (7-5).
• The Wildcats have a 5-4 record (winning 55.6% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +162 or longer.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Tennessee has a 66.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Head-to-Head Comparison

• Tennessee averages 74.6 points per game (151st in college basketball) while giving up 62.9 per contest (eighth in college basketball). It has a +422 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 11.7 points per game.
• Chaz Lanier's team-leading 18.1 points per game ranks 69th in the nation.
• Kentucky outscores opponents by 7.8 points per game (posting 85 points per game, sixth in college basketball, and allowing 77.2 per outing, 315th in college basketball) and has a +273 scoring differential.
• Otega Oweh's 16.3 points per game leads Kentucky and ranks 166th in the country.
• The Volunteers are 104th in the country at 33.2 rebounds per game. That's 5.8 more than the 27.4 their opponents average.
• Igor Milicic Jr. paces the team with 6.8 rebounds per game (192nd in college basketball action).
• The Wildcats pull down 34.5 rebounds per game (50th in college basketball) while conceding 32.1 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 2.4 boards per game.
• Amari Williams tops the Wildcats with 8.6 rebounds per game (42nd in college basketball).
• Tennessee averages 100.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (59th in college basketball), and gives up 84.9 points per 100 possessions (ninth in college basketball).
• The Wildcats average 105.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (15th in college basketball), and allow 95.6 points per 100 possessions (244th in college basketball).

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