Super Bowl Matchup Betting: How to Bet Mahomes vs. Purdy Markets

There are plenty of interesting betting markets that are available for the Super Bowl, including player matchups for the upcoming showdown between the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers. One of the player matchups you can wager during this year's Super Bowl is Patrick Mahomes vs. Brock Purdy.

When going into the "player matchups" tab on FanDuel Sportsbook, you can find a variety of lines involving Mahomes and Purdy. This includes taking a spread, moneyline, or total for passing yards, passing touchdowns, and rushing yards for both quarterbacks in this year's Super Bowl.

With all of that information being laid out, let's dive into the best bets for the Mahomes vs. Purdy markets.

All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

Mahomes vs. Purdy Super Bowl Best Bets

Over 3.5 Total Passing Touchdowns (+115)

Instead of choosing a side between Mahomes or Purdy in the passing touchdowns department, we'll go with taking the over on total passing touchdowns from both quarterbacks. The over/under for passing touchdowns in the Super Bowl from Mahomes and Purdy is set at 3.5.

In 19 games across the regular season and the playoffs, Mahomes has thrown multiple touchdowns in 10 of them. Meanwhile, Purdy has tossed multiple touchdowns in 9 of his 18 starts in the regular season and the playoffs.

The good thing about taking the over on the 3.5 passing touchdowns from both signal-callers in the Super Bowl is the fact there are a variety of outcomes that can help the over hit. Just as an example, Mahomes can throw three of the touchdowns while Purdy finishes with only one touchdown for the over to be achieved.

Even though the Chiefs and the 49ers both have top-five schedule-adjusted pass defenses, per numberFire's metrics, these quarterbacks are capable of converting drives into touchdowns. With both teams having projected team totals of at least 23.5 points, both passing attacks should be featured often in the final game of the season.

Brock Purdy +14.5 Passing Yards (-110)

It has been far from a smooth postseason run for Purdy despite the 49ers facing two middling defenses: the Detroit Lions and the Green Bay Packers. Nevertheless, we'll be siding with Purdy to cover the passing yards spread of +14.5 on Mahomes in this year's Super Bowl.

Upon looking at the player props for the Super Bowl, Mahomes' passing yards line is sitting at 262.5 and Purdy's is hovering around 246.5. Even with that being the case, betting on Purdy to cover the spread in the passing yards department is placing confidence in the second-year quarterback's impressive arsenal of weapons.

While Mahomes is almost exclusively leaning on Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice, Purdy gets to pepper Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle with targets. Despite Mahomes going up against tougher defenses this postseason, he is averaging 239.3 passing yards per game compared to Purdy's 259.5 passing yards in the playoffs.

When including the regular season, Mahomes produced 257 passing yards per game and Purdy logged 266 passing yards per game. All we need is for Purdy to have 14 fewer passing yards -- or even have more passing yards than Mahomes -- to cover the passing yards spread in Sunday's showdown.

Brock Purdy +12.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Neither of these quarterbacks are considered true dual-threat quarterbacks. At the same time, Mahomes and Purdy are plenty capable of extending plays and generating yards with their legs when they are required to do so.

In his three playoff games entering the Super Bowl, Mahomes has rushed for 41, 19, and 15 yards while Purdy has rushed for 14 and 48 yards in his two postseason contests. What makes Purdy's +12.5 rushing yards spread on Mahomes such an enticing bet is the fact the Chiefs are a man-heavy defense under Steve Spagnuolo.

Purdy rushed for 48 yards against the Lions in the Conference Championship Round, and Detroit's defense plays man-coverage at the 10th-highest rate (33.7%) in the NFL, via NextGenStats. The Chiefs play man-coverage at the fourth-highest rate (40.3%), which could allow Purdy to have rushing lanes when defenders have their backs turned towards him.

With Kansas City's playing man-coverage often, the Chiefs are allowing the most rushing yards (493) and have the worst rushing success rate (58.8%) against quarterbacks. While Purdy isn't known for gashing defenses with his legs, he should keep the rushing yard totals pretty close in a game where the 49ers will likely have a defender spying Mahomes throughout the contest.

Are you ready for February 11th? All FanDuel customers get a No Sweat Same Game Parlay to use on the big game! Plus, new users have the chance to win $200 in Bonus Bets. See the promotions page for more information.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook and check out all of the NFL betting options.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.