Spurs vs. Thunder Western Finals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 22

Spurs vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Friday, May 22, 2026
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Frost Bank Center -- San Antonio, Texas
• Coverage: NBC/Peacock

The San Antonio Spurs are slight 1.5-point favorites heading into Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Frost Bank Center on Friday, beginning at 8:30 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock. The series is tied 1-1. The over/under is 215.5 for the matchup.

Spurs vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Spurs win (56.8%)

Spurs vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Spurs have covered the spread 43 times in 81 games with a set spread.
• The Thunder have 39 wins against the spread in 82 games this year.
• Games involving the Spurs have hit the over 36 times this season.
• The Thunder have eclipsed the over/under 54.9% of the time this year (45 of 82 games with a set point total).
• San Antonio has done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (24-17-1) than it has in home games (19-17-3).
• The Spurs have exceeded the over/under more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in 18 of 40 home matchups (45%). In road games, they have hit the over in 18 of 42 games (42.9%).
• Oklahoma City's winning percentage against the spread at home is .452 (19-23-0). On the road, it is .500 (20-19-1).
• Looking at the over/under, Thunder games have finished over 22 of 42 times at home (52.4%), and 23 of 40 away (57.5%).

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama averages 25 points, 11.5 rebounds and 3.1 assists, shooting 51.2% from the field and 34.9% from downtown, with 1.9 made 3-pointers per contest.
• De'Aaron Fox averages 18.6 points, 3.8 rebounds and 6.2 assists.
• Stephon Castle's numbers on the season are 16.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 7.4 assists per game, shooting 47.1% from the field and 33.2% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.2 made treys.
• Keldon Johnson is averaging 13.2 points, 1.4 assists and 5.4 rebounds.
• Julian Champagnie is averaging 11.1 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.5 assists.

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's numbers on the season are 31.1 points, 4.3 boards and 6.6 assists per game. He is also draining 55.3% of his shots from the floor and 38.6% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.7 triples.
• Chet Holmgren's numbers on the season are 17.1 points, 8.9 boards and 1.7 assists per contest. He is sinking 55.7% of his shots from the floor and 36.2% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.3 treys.
• The Thunder are receiving 8.6 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game from Cason Wallace.
• Ajay Mitchell's numbers on the season are 13.6 points, 3.3 rebounds and 3.6 assists per contest. He is making 48.5% of his shots from the floor and 34.7% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.1 triples.
• The Thunder receive 9.2 points per game from Isaiah Hartenstein, plus 9.4 boards and 3.5 assists.

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