Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 4

Spurs vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Frost Bank Center -- San Antonio, Texas
• Coverage: ESPN, FDSOK, and FDSSW

The Oklahoma City Thunder (40-11) are favored by 2.5 points when they visit the San Antonio Spurs (33-16) in a battle between the top two teams in the Western at Frost Bank Center on Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN, FDSOK, and FDSSW. The matchup has an over/under of 224.5.

Spurs vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Spurs win (54.9%)

Spurs vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder are 25-26-0 against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Spurs are 24-22-3 this year.
• Games involving the Thunder have hit the over 27 times out of 49 chances this season.
• Spurs games this season have hit the over on 17 of 49 set point totals (34.7%).
• Against the spread, Oklahoma City has played worse at home, covering 13 times in 27 home games, and 12 times in 24 road games.
• The Thunder have hit the over on the total in a lower percentage of home games (48.1%) than road tilts (58.3%).
• San Antonio's winning percentage against the spread at home is .478 (11-10-2). On the road, it is .500 (13-12-1).
• In terms of the over/under, Spurs games have finished over more frequently at home (eight of 23, 34.8%) than on the road (nine of 26, 34.6%).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.8 points, 4.4 boards and 6.4 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Chet Holmgren averages 17.7 points, 8.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists.
• Ajay Mitchell averages 14.1 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists, shooting 48.7% from the floor and 35% from downtown, with 1.1 made treys per contest.
• Cason Wallace is averaging 7.8 points, 3 boards and 2 assists. At the other end, he averages 2.1 steals (first in NBA) and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 11 points, 3.1 assists and 10 boards.

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama averages 24.1 points, 11 rebounds and 2.7 assists. He is also draining 50.4% of his shots from the field and 35.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.7 triples per contest.
• Per game, De'Aaron Fox gives the Spurs 19.8 points, 4.1 boards and 6.2 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Stephon Castle's numbers on the season are 16.6 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists per game. He is sinking 45.1% of his shots from the floor and 28.4% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.1 treys.
• Keldon Johnson's numbers on the season are 13.4 points, 6 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest. He is draining 55% of his shots from the floor and 38.8% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.2 treys.
• Julian Champagnie's numbers on the season are 11.6 points, 6.1 boards and 1.4 assists per game. He is making 42.6% of his shots from the field and 37.5% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.5 treys.

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