Sovereignty: Belmont Stakes Odds, History and Predictions

The 2025 Belmont Stakes is nearly here, and a field of 8 three-year-old horses is set.
Sovereignty burst onto the Triple Crown with a win at the Kentucky Derby before sitting out Preakness. Let's take a look at the Sovereignty race history and morning-line odds ahead of the 2025 Belmont Stakes.
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Sovereignty Belmont Odds and Post Position
Sovereignty's Belmont morning line odds are 2-1.
Sovereignty Horse Trainer and Jockey
Trainer Bill Mott helped Sovereignty capture 1st at last month’s Kentucky Derby -- Mott’s third career Triple Crown win. Mott previously won Belmont in 2010 with Drosselmeyer and trained the 2nd-place horse here in 1999 and 2019.
Jockey Junior Alvarado rode Sovereignty to victory at the Kentucky Derby and has finished top 20 in earnings each of the past five years.
Sovereignty Race History
Sovereignty has been dominant since October of last year, winning three of four starts and reaching a 94 Speed Score in each.
Speed Scores via Equibase.
Date | Track | Race | Finish | Equibase Speed Score |
---|---|---|---|---|
5/3/2025 | Churchill Downs | Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (Gr. 1) | 1 | 103 |
3/29/2025 | Gulfstream Park | Curlin Florida Derby presented by Hill 'n' Dale Farms at Xalapa (Gr. 1) | 2 | 94 |
3/1/2025 | Gulfstream Park | Coolmore Fountain of Youth Stakes (Gr. 2) | 1 | 98 |
10/27/2024 | Churchill Downs | Street Sense Stakes (Gr. 3) | 1 | 99 |
9/27/2024 | Belmont At The Big A | Maiden Special Weight | 2 | 84 |
8/24/2024 | Saratoga | Maiden Special Weight | 4 | 73 |
Sovereignty Belmont Prediction and Pick
Sovereignty is right behind Journalism in the Belmont Stakes odds and is a worthy challenger after besting them at the Kentucky Derby. They reached a career-best 103 Speed Score in the win, so the arrow is firmly pointed up.
Having not raced at Preakness, Sovereignty will be fresher than Journalism. They may need to unlock an even higher gear to win Belmont, but there’s certainly upside with their 2-1 morning line odds.
heck out FanDuel TV’s Dubbs Anderson and Caleb Keller break down Sovereignty and the Belmont Stakes below.
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