Senegal ML

-376

Draw ~+350 · Iraq ~+900

FOX: Senegal -2.5 +165 · Mané +135

Iraq ML

~+900

Senegal 3-1 Iraq · Sarr scores · Mané delivers · Iraq consolation 🇸🇳 3–1 🇮🇶

Both teams are eliminated but Senegal have everything to play for — a big enough win keeps their best third-place hopes alive. FOX: "Iraq is the side you want to face when you need a big win." Covers: "There's no Kylian Mbappe or Erling Haaland to torment Senegal — that should pave the way for Pape Thiaw to shift into a more dangerous 4-3-3 setup."

Iraq have conceded 7 goals in 2 games. Hussein — their only WC scorer — is out. Zidane Iqbal (Man Utd) is their only creative outlet. Scores24: "Senegal have scored in 16 consecutive matches. Iraq have conceded in 8 of their last 9." The attacking talent mismatch is enormous.

Mané is on a personal mission — 34 years old, this is his final World Cup, and he hasn't scored yet. Sarr is on fire (2 goals vs Norway). Jackson at Chelsea is clinical. Prediction: Senegal 3-1 Iraq.

⚠️ Projected · Bench: I.Mbaye (PSG 18yo · scored vs FRA) · Ndiaye (Everton) · Dieng

FOX Sports explicitly: "Iraq is the side you want to face when you need a big win. Take Senegal -2.5 (+165)." This is FOX's primary pick — a 3+ goal margin for Senegal. Iraq conceded 7 goals in 2 games. Hussein is out. Senegal need a big GD swing for any R16 chance — they'll attack aggressively from the first whistle. At +165 (winning $16.50 per $10), this captures the big Senegal win at plus money. $10→$26.50.

Senegal -2.5 +165 — FOX primary. Win by 3+. Iraq conceded 7 in 2 games. Hussein out. $10→$26.50.

Covers: "Prohibitive -376 favorites — signaling one-way traffic in Toronto." RotoWire: "Senegal have far too much quality for Iraq. They have a reason to chase this and should win." Racing Post: "Senegal can take advantage of a substantial drop in class." Safer than the handicap — stack both for aggressive bettors targeting a big Senegal win. $10→$12.66.

Senegal ML -376 — consensus primary. Mane + Sarr + Jackson. Iraq outclassed. $10→$12.66.

FOX Sports explicitly: "Sadio Mané is +135 to score against Iraq." This is his final World Cup at age 34 — Senegal's all-time top scorer has not scored yet this tournament. He takes set pieces and penalties. Scores24: "Mane to score at +135 is absolutely worth considering — in a match where Senegal need goals desperately, the leader steps up." Against Iraq's porous defence, this is the tournament moment he's been waiting for. $10→$23.50.

Sarr Anytime (check FD ~-102 to +110): Sportsgambler/Racing Post primary scorer. Scored twice vs Norway from 1.47 xG. Oddschecker: "Sarr has already scored three WC goals and is the most clinical Senegal finisher." Check FD for live price.

BTTS Yes +115 (Lineups primary): Senegal allowed 3 goals in 3 of last 4 matches. No WC clean sheet since 2002. Iraq will attack — Arnold confirmed they want Iraq's first-ever WC point. Captures Senegal win + Iraq consolation. $10→$21.50.