Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 6

Odds updated as of 8:14 a.m.
The Boston Red Sox will take on the Washington Nationals in MLB action on Sunday.
Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the most important information regarding this matchup.
Red Sox vs Nationals Game Info
- Boston Red Sox (45-45) vs. Washington Nationals (37-52)
- Date: Sunday, July 6, 2025
- Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
- Venue: Nationals Park -- Washington, District of Columbia
- Coverage: MASN and NESN
Red Sox vs Nationals Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: BOS: (-255) | WSH: (+210)
- Spread: BOS: -1.5 (-154) | WSH: +1.5 (+128)
- Total: 8 -- Over: (-120) | Under: (-102)
Red Sox vs Nationals Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Garrett Crochet (Red Sox) - 8-4, 2.34 ERA vs Shinnosuke Ogasawara (Nationals) - 0-0, 0.00 ERA
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Red Sox will send Garrett Crochet (8-4) to the mound, while Shinnosuke Ogasawara will take the ball for the Nationals. When Crochet starts, his team is 9-9-0 against the spread this season. Crochet's team has a record of 9-7 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline. Ogasawara and his team were underdogs on the moneyline each game he pitched a season ago.
Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Red Sox win (64.5%)
Red Sox vs Nationals Moneyline
- Looking at the moneyline for Nationals-Red Sox, Washington is the underdog at +210, and Boston is -255 playing on the road.
Red Sox vs Nationals Spread
- The Red Sox are favored by 1.5 runs on the road against the Nationals. The Red Sox are -154 to cover the spread, while the Nationals are +128.
Red Sox vs Nationals Over/Under
- A total of 8 runs has been set for the Red Sox-Nationals game on July 6, with the over available at -120 and the under at -102.
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Red Sox vs Nationals Betting Trends
- The Red Sox have been chosen as favorites in 55 games this year and have walked away with the win 28 times (50.9%) in those games.
- This year Boston has won two of three games when listed as at least -255 on the moneyline.
- The Red Sox and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of their 89 opportunities.
- The Red Sox have posted a record of 46-43-0 against the spread this season.
- The Nationals have been the moneyline underdog 67 total times this season. They've finished 32-35 in those games.
- Washington has played as a moneyline underdog of +210 or longer in just two games this season, which it split 1-1.
- The Nationals have combined with opponents to go over the total 46 times this season for a 46-38-1 record against the over/under.
- The Nationals have covered 52.9% of their games this season, going 45-40-0 against the spread.
Red Sox Player Leaders
- Jarren Duran has an OPS of .728, fueled by an OBP of .312 and a team-best slugging percentage of .416 this season. He has a .255 batting average.
- Among all qualified hitters, he ranks 88th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 109th, and he is 87th in slugging.
- Duran hopes to build on a six-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .237 with three doubles, two triples, a home run, five walks and six RBIs.
- Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .257 with 19 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 15 walks. He's slugging .438 with an on-base percentage of .301.
- Among qualified hitters, his batting average places him 80th, his on-base percentage 125th, and his slugging percentage 68th.
- Rafaela brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with five doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBIs.
- Wilyer Abreu has 65 hits and an OBP of .326, both of which lead the Red Sox this season.
- Trevor Story has 13 home runs, 51 RBI and a batting average of .252 this season.
- Story heads into this matchup on a seven-game hitting streak. In his last 10 outings he is batting .385 with four doubles, two home runs, two walks and 12 RBIs.
Nationals Player Leaders
- James Wood has racked up 96 hits with a .391 on-base percentage and a .553 slugging percentage, all club-bests for the Nationals. He's batting .288.
- He is 26th in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage and eighth in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters in the big leagues.
- C.J. Abrams has 18 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 24 walks while batting .286. He's slugging .484 with an on-base percentage of .357.
- Including all qualifying players, he is 29th in batting average, 33rd in on-base percentage and 34th in slugging percentage.
- Luis Garcia is hitting .265 with 19 doubles, seven home runs and 16 walks.
- Nathaniel Lowe has 14 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .234.
Red Sox vs Nationals Head to Head
- 7/5/2025: 10-3 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
- 7/4/2025: 11-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 5/12/2024: 3-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
- 5/11/2024: 4-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
- 5/10/2024: 5-1 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -220, Underdog Moneyline: +184)
- 8/17/2023: 10-7 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -186, Underdog Moneyline: +156)
- 8/16/2023: 6-2 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
- 8/15/2023: 5-4 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
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