Rays vs Mariners Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 11

Odds updated as of 3:12 p.m.

On Saturday in MLB, the Tampa Bay Rays are up against the Seattle Mariners.

Here's everything you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Rays vs Mariners Game Info

• Tampa Bay Rays (55-37) vs. Seattle Mariners (47-48)
• Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Tropicana Field -- St. Petersburg, Florida
• Coverage: Rays.TV and Mariners.TV

Rays vs Mariners Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: TB: (-112) | SEA: (-104)
• Spread: TB: +1.5 (-196) | SEA: -1.5 (+162)
• Total: 7 -- Over: (-120) | Under: (-102)

Rays vs Mariners Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Griffin Jax (Rays) - 4-6, 3.60 ERA vs Logan Gilbert (Mariners) - 7-5, 3.19 ERA

The Rays will give the ball to Griffin Jax (4-6, 3.60 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 5 on the season, and the Mariners will turn to Logan Gilbert (7-5, 3.19 ERA). Jax's team is 7-6-0 against the spread in his starts this season. When Jax starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-4. The Mariners have gone 8-10-0 ATS in Gilbert's 18 starts that had a set spread. The Mariners were the moneyline underdog for two Gilbert starts this season -- they lost both.

Rays vs Mariners Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rays win (51.3%)

Rays vs Mariners Moneyline

• The moneyline numbers for Rays vs. Mariners reveal Tampa Bay as the favorite (-112) and Seattle as the underdog (-104) on the road.

Rays vs Mariners Spread

• The Mariners are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Rays. The Mariners are +162 to cover, while the Rays are -196 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.

Rays vs Mariners Over/Under

• A combined run total of 7 has been set for Rays-Mariners on July 11, with the over at -120 and the under at -102.

Bet on Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners on FanDuel today!

Rays vs Mariners Betting Trends

• The Rays have been victorious in 38, or 64.4%, of the 59 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• This season Tampa Bay has been victorious 38 times in 57 chances when named as a favorite of at least -112 on the moneyline.
• The Rays' games have gone over the total in 43 of their 91 opportunities.
• The Rays are 55-36-0 against the spread in their 91 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Mariners have been the underdog on the moneyline 11 total times this season. They've gone 2-9 in those games.
• Seattle is 1-7 (winning only 12.5% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of -104 or longer.
• The Mariners have played in 94 games with an over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 45 times (45-46-3).
• The Mariners have a 34-60-0 record against the spread this season (covering only 36.2% of the time).

Rays Player Leaders

• Junior Caminero has 98 hits, which leads Tampa Bay hitters this season, while batting .280 with 41 extra-base hits. He has an on-base percentage of .370 and a slugging percentage of .557.
• Among all qualifying hitters, he is 37th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 25th, and he is eighth in slugging.
• Caminero hopes to build on a two-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .150 with a double, two home runs, a walk and three RBIs.
• Yandy Diaz is slashing .321/.400/.491 this season and leads the Rays with an OPS of .891.
• Among qualified batters, he ranks third in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage and 30th in slugging percentage.
• Jonathan Aranda has 97 hits this season and has a slash line of .291/.389/.453.
• Aranda enters this game with three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .368 with two doubles, two walks and three RBIs.
• Chandler Simpson has been key for Tampa Bay with 91 hits, an OBP of .319 plus a slugging percentage of .345.
• Simpson heads into this game on a three-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .368 with two triples and an RBI.

Mariners Player Leaders

• Randy Arozarena has totaled 91 hits with a .378 on-base percentage and a .453 slugging percentage, all club-bests for the Mariners. He's batting .286.
• Including all qualifying hitters, he ranks 26th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 22nd and he is 59th in slugging.
• Josh Naylor is hitting .251 with 11 doubles, eight home runs and 29 walks. He's slugging .353 with an on-base percentage of .314.
• He is currently 85th in batting average, 110th in on-base percentage and 129th in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters.
• Cole Young has 13 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 25 walks while batting .253.
• Dominic Canzone has 13 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 22 walks while hitting .265.

Rays vs Mariners Head to Head

• 7/10/2026: 7-2 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 9/3/2025: 9-4 TB (Favorite: Mariners, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 9/2/2025: 6-5 TB (Favorite: Mariners, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 9/1/2025: 10-2 TB (Favorite: Mariners, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 8/10/2025: 6-3 SEA (Favorite: Mariners, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -180, Underdog Moneyline: +152)
• 8/9/2025: 7-4 SEA (Favorite: Mariners, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 8/8/2025: 3-2 SEA (Favorite: Mariners, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 8/28/2024: 6-2 SEA (Favorite: Mariners, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 8/27/2024: 3-2 TB (Favorite: Mariners, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 8/26/2024: 5-1 SEA (Favorite: Mariners, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)

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