Purdue vs Michigan Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big Ten Tournament

The No. 6 seed Purdue Boilermakers (22-10, 13-7 Big Ten) and the No. 3 seed Michigan Wolverines (22-9, 14-6 Big Ten) play in the Big Ten tournament Friday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, tipping off at 9 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Purdue vs. Michigan Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 14, 2025
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Big Ten Network
• Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
• Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Purdue vs. Michigan Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Purdue win (58.3%)

Read the betting insights and trends below before placing a bet on Friday's Purdue-Michigan spread (Purdue -2.5) or over/under (147.5 points).

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Purdue vs. Michigan: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Purdue has won 17 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 15 times.
• Michigan has won 12 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 18 times.
• When the spread is set as 2.5 or more this season, Purdue (14-10) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (58.3%) than Michigan (2-2) does as the underdog (50%).
• The Boilermakers have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 10 times in 16 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered six times in 11 opportunities in road games.
• This year, the Wolverines are 5-10-0 at home against the spread (.333 winning percentage). Away, they are 5-5-0 ATS (.500).
• Purdue has covered the spread 13 times in 21 conference games.
• Michigan is 5-14-0 against the spread in Big Ten play this year.

Purdue vs. Michigan: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Purdue has come away with 20 wins in the 24 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• This season, the Boilermakers have come away with a win 20 times in 24 chances when named as a favorite of at least -134 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Michigan has put together a 3-2 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 60% of those games).
• The Wolverines have gone 2-2 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +112 or longer (50%).
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Purdue has a 57.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Purdue vs. Michigan Head-to-Head Comparison

• Purdue is outscoring opponents by 7.6 points per game with a +242 scoring differential overall. It puts up 78.2 points per game (75th in college basketball) and gives up 70.6 per contest (134th in college basketball).
• Trey Kaufman-Renn leads Purdue, recording 20.1 points per game (15th in college basketball).
• Michigan puts up 78.5 points per game (68th in college basketball) while allowing 71.6 per contest (170th in college basketball). It has a +214 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 6.9 points per game.
• Vladislav Goldin paces Michigan, averaging 16.7 points per game (139th in college basketball).
• The 29.6 rebounds per game the Boilermakers average rank 313th in college basketball, and are 1.4 more than the 28.2 their opponents record per contest.
• Kaufman-Renn averages 6.2 rebounds per game (ranking 275th in college basketball) to lead the Boilermakers.
• The Wolverines average 34.6 rebounds per game (51st in college basketball) while conceding 29.5 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 5.1 boards per game.
• Danny Wolf's 9.7 rebounds per game lead the Wolverines and rank 13th in the country.
• Purdue ranks 17th in college basketball by averaging 105.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 228th in college basketball, allowing 95 points per 100 possessions.
• The Wolverines' 97.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 134th in college basketball, and the 88.9 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 67th in college basketball.

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