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Premier League Betting: Best Futures, Golden Boot, and League Winner Bets for 2024-25

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After a soccer-filled summer, the English Premier League is ready to roll for another campaign, with the 2024-25 season kicking off on Friday.

That makes now a great time to dive into the EPL futures markets via the soccer odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Which futures bets make sense for the coming season? Let's dig in.

Premier League Betting: Best Futures Bets

Arsenal to Win the League (+175)

By the odds, it's a two-team race in the EPL this season, with City a +120 favorite and Arsenal at +175. Liverpool check in next at +600 to win the league.

Arsenal ran Manchester City close last year, but ultimately, City won the league by two points, giving City their fourth title in a row and sixth over the last seven years.

I think Arsenal can take it one step further this season and unseat the champs.

By FBRef's expected goals (xG) model, the Gunners actually out-performed City last season. Arsenal ended with an xG differential of +48.2, compared to Man City's xG differential of +44.9.

What gives me faith in Arsenal to finish the job this time around is the Gunners' elite defense. In 2023-24, Arsenal gave up only 29 goals and 27.9 xG across 38 matches. The Gunners will run it back with much of the same roster this season, meaning center-back stalwarts Gabriel Magalhães and William Saliba return to anchor the defense along with keeper David Raya.

On the City side, Pep Guardiola's team lost attacker Julian Alvarez this summer but added young winger Savinho. They should, for the most part, be a very similar squad to what they were a year ago.

Last year showed that Arsenal can absolutely go toe to toe with City over the duration of a 38-game league season. In my eyes, this market should have City and the Gunners a little closer, so I'll side with Arsenal at their +175 odds.

Newcastle United to Finish in the Top 6 (-140)

Last season was a bit of a trainwreck for Newcastle as injuries and suspensions robbed them of much-needed squad depth, resulting in the Magpies finishing seventh a year after making the top four.

But last year's misfortune could be this season's good luck as Newcastle are not participating in a European competition this campaign, freeing them up to place more of an emphasis on the EPL. In my eyes, that's a huge deal, especially after Newcastle struggled a year ago to balance their EPL efforts alongside being in the Champions League.

The battle for the top six should be extremely competitive. Manchester City (-4000 to make top six) and Arsenal (-2400) will almost surely nab two of the spots, and Liverpool (-600) are likely to take one, as well. That leaves a five-team group of Tottenham (-210), Manchester United (-210), Chelsea (-180), Newcastle (-140) and Aston Villa (+145) to fight for the next three slots. I don't think much separates those five, but potential fixture congestion can be a factor.

All of those teams are playing in Europe. City, Liverpool, Arsenal and Villa are in the UCL. Spurs and Man United are in the Europa League. Chelsea are in the Conference League. Not only that, but aside from Villa, I think all those teams have a fairly good shot to go deep in their respective European competition, meaning they'll likely have a full plate in the spring of stretch-run EPL matches and European nights.

In addition to all that, Newcastle -- despite serious injury woes a year ago -- still rated out very well by xG. Their xG differential of +14.6 ranked fifth in the league, trailing just Chelsea's (+16.4) among that group of five that looks set to duke it out for fourth through sixth.

Newcastle are a quality side with a great homefield advantage, a good manager, a top-notch striker -- more on him shortly -- and an advantageous schedule in terms of no European competition. They check several boxes, and I also kind of like them at +230 to make the top four.

Alexander Isak to Win the Golden Boot (+1600)

Whenever there's a season-long individual player market with an overwhelming favorite, I'm intrigued, because all it takes is an injury to that favorite and someone at a big number can cash.

That's exactly the case with the EPL Golden Boot odds for this coming year as Erling Haaland is a -145 favorite. No one else has odds shorter than +1100.

Of course, Haaland is the favorite for a reason -- he's won the Golden Boot each of the past two years (his only two seasons in the EPL) and will likely do so again if he stays healthy. He's got 63 goals in 62 league starts since moving to Manchester City.

For the most part, Haaland has stayed fairly healthy at City -- although he did miss some time last season -- but injuries were more of an issue for him at Dortmund, where he started only 21 domestic-league matches in 2021-22.

If injury woes rear their head again for Haaland, Isak is going to have a real shot to win the Golden Boot. Isak netted 21 goals in 27 EPL starts a year ago and ranked second in the league (to Haaland) in both goals per 90 minutes (0.84) and xG per 90 minutes (0.81). He plays for an attack-minded Newcastle side and takes penalties, as well.

I think you can also make a solid case for Liverpool's Mohamed Salah (+1100) in this market. If Haaland ended up having to miss meaningful time, this market will get turned on its head, and I think it makes sense to throw a dart at a couple of the top non-Haaland options.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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