Pistons vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 1

Pistons vs. Heat Game Info

• Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
• Time: 7 p.m. ET
• Venue: Little Caesars Arena -- Detroit, Michigan
• Coverage: FDSSUN and FDSDETX

The Miami Heat (18-15) will attempt to build on a three-game win streak when they hit the road to take on the Detroit Pistons (25-8) on Thursday, January 1, 2026 at Little Caesars Arena as 5.5-point underdogs. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and FDSDETX. The over/under in the matchup is 239.5.

Pistons vs. Heat Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Pistons vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Pistons win (64.4%)

Pistons vs. Heat Betting Trends

• The Pistons have covered the spread 18 times over 33 games with a set spread.
• In the Heat's 33 games this season, they have 19 wins against the spread.
• Games involving the Pistons have hit the over 18 times this season.
• Heat games this year have gone over the point total 17 times in 33 opportunities (51.5%).
• Detroit sports a better record against the spread at home (9-6-0) than it does in away games (9-8-1).
• The Pistons have hit the over on the total in nine of 15 home games (60%), compared to nine of 18 road games (50%).
• Miami has been better against the spread at home (10-7-0) than on the road (9-6-1) this season.
• Looking at the over/under, Heat games have finished over less frequently at home (eight of 17, 47.1%) than on the road (nine of 16, 56.2%).

Pistons Leaders

• Cade Cunningham is averaging 26.5 points, 9.7 assists and 6.2 boards.
• Jalen Duren averages 18.1 points, 10.8 rebounds and 1.8 assists, shooting 63.8% from the field (sixth in league).
• Ausar Thompson averages 11.6 points, 5.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists, shooting 51.1% from the floor.
• Isaiah Stewart is averaging 10.1 points, 1.1 assists and 5.8 rebounds.
• Duncan Robinson averages 11.6 points, 2.9 boards and 2 assists, shooting 42.3% from the floor and 38.5% from downtown, with 2.8 made treys per game.

Heat Leaders

• Per game, Kel'el Ware gets the Heat 12.6 points, 10.6 boards and 0.5 assists. He also averages 1 steal and 1.3 blocks.
• The Heat get 16.4 points per game from Jaime Jaquez Jr., plus 5.4 rebounds and 4.8 assists.
• Norman Powell averages 23.8 points, 4 boards and 2.8 assists. He is sinking 47.9% of his shots from the floor and 39.8% from 3-point range, with 2.8 treys per game.
• Bam Adebayo's numbers on the season are 17.8 points, 9.5 boards and 2.5 assists per game. He is sinking 46.7% of his shots from the floor and 31.8% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.4 treys.
• Andrew Wiggins averages 16.4 points, 4.9 boards and 3 assists. He is sinking 48.6% of his shots from the field and 40.7% from 3-point range, with 1.9 triples per contest.

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