Phillies vs Royals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 5

Odds updated as of 10:12 p.m.

The Philadelphia Phillies versus the Kansas City Royals is on the MLB schedule for Sunday.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the most important info about this matchup.

Phillies vs Royals Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies (49-39) vs. Kansas City Royals (35-53)
• Date: Sunday, July 5, 2026
• Time: 3 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kauffman Stadium -- Kansas City, Missouri
• Coverage: Peacock and NBCS-PH

Phillies vs Royals Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: PHI: (-156) | KC: (+132)
• Spread: PHI: -1.5 (+108) | KC: +1.5 (-130)
• Total: 9 -- Over: (-106) | Under: (-114)

Phillies vs Royals Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Aaron Nola (Phillies) - 3-5, 6.04 ERA vs Luinder Avila (Royals) - 3-3, 5.40 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Phillies will send Aaron Nola (3-5) to the mound, while Luinder Avila (3-3) will answer the bell for the Royals. Nola's team is 5-12-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Nola's team has won 45.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-6). The Royals are 5-2-0 against the spread when Avila starts. The Royals have a 5-2 record in Avila's seven starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Phillies vs Royals Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Phillies win (54.9%)

Phillies vs Royals Moneyline

• The moneyline numbers for Phillies vs. Royals reveal Philadelphia as the favorite (-156) and Kansas City as the underdog (+132) despite being the home team.

Phillies vs Royals Spread

• The Royals are +1.5 on the run line against the Phillies. The Royals are -130 to cover, and the Phillies are +108.

Phillies vs Royals Over/Under

• An over/under of 9 has been set for Phillies-Royals on July 5, with the over being -106 and the under -114.

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Phillies vs Royals Betting Trends

• The Phillies have been chosen as favorites in 63 games this year and have walked away with the win 40 times (63.5%) in those games.
• This season Philadelphia has come away with a win 26 times in 33 chances when named as a favorite of at least -156 on the moneyline.
• The Phillies' games have gone over the total in 39 of their 86 opportunities.
• The Phillies are 32-54-0 against the spread in their 86 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Royals have a 19-34 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 35.8% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +132 or longer, Kansas City has gone 3-3 (50%).
• The Royals have played in 84 games with a set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 42 times (42-41-1).
• The Royals have a 37-47-0 record ATS this season.

Phillies Player Leaders

• Bryce Harper leads Philadelphia with an OBP of .374 this season while batting .274 with 53 walks and 56 runs scored. He has a slugging percentage of .532.
• Among qualifying batters in the majors, he ranks 39th in batting average, 22nd in on-base percentage, and 11th in slugging.
• Harper will look for his fifth straight game with a hit in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .211 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and seven RBIs.
• Kyle Schwarber leads Philadelphia with 79 hits. He is batting .250 this season and has 40 extra-base hits. He's also slugging .570 with an on-base percentage of .365.
• He ranks 89th in batting average, 28th in on-base percentage and third in slugging among qualified hitters.
• Brandon Marsh has an OPS of .870, fueled by an OBP of .348 and a team-best slugging percentage of .523 this season.
• Trea Turner has been key for Philadelphia with 85 hits, an OBP of .287 plus a slugging percentage of .366.
• Turner takes a five-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a double, three home runs and seven RBIs.

Royals Player Leaders

• Bobby Witt Jr. has accumulated a .362 on-base percentage and a .470 slugging percentage, both team-high numbers for the Royals. He's batting .290.
• Including all the qualifying players in the big leagues, he ranks 18th in batting average, 31st in on-base percentage and 41st in slugging percentage.
• Carter Jensen is hitting .251 with 17 doubles, 13 home runs and 27 walks. He's slugging .452 with an on-base percentage of .314.
• Including all qualified players, he is 82nd in batting average, 108th in on-base percentage and 61st in slugging percentage.
• Jac Caglianone has racked up 74 hits, a team-high for the Royals.
• Michael Massey is hitting .256 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 10 walks.

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