Phillies vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Sept. 11

Odds updated as of 4:17 a.m.

On Thursday in MLB, the Philadelphia Phillies are up against the New York Mets.

Here's everything you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Phillies vs Mets Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies (86-60) vs. New York Mets (76-70)
• Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025
• Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park -- Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Coverage: FOX

Phillies vs Mets Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: PHI: (-142) | NYM: (+120)
• Spread: PHI: -1.5 (+134) | NYM: +1.5 (-162)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

Phillies vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Jesús Luzardo (Phillies) - 13-6, 4.01 ERA vs David Peterson (Mets) - 9-5, 3.72 ERA

The Phillies will give the nod to Jesus Luzardo (13-6) against the Mets and David Peterson (9-5). Luzardo and his team are 13-15-0 ATS this season when he starts. Luzardo's team has a record of 14-9 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline. The Mets have an 8-16-0 ATS record in Peterson's 24 starts with a set spread. The Mets have been the underdog on the moneyline in five of Peterson's starts this season, and they went 1-4 in those games.

Phillies vs Mets Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Phillies win (54.7%)

Phillies vs Mets Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Phillies-Mets, Philadelphia is the favorite at -142, and New York is +120 playing on the road.

Phillies vs Mets Spread

• The Mets are at +1.5 on the runline against the Phillies. The Mets are -162 to cover the spread, and the Phillies are +134.

Phillies vs Mets Over/Under

• An over/under of 8.5 has been set for Phillies-Mets on Sept. 11, with the over being -105 and the under -115.

Bet on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets on FanDuel today!

Phillies vs Mets Betting Trends

• The Phillies have come away with 72 wins in the 111 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• Philadelphia has a record of 54-24 in contests when sportsbooks favor them by -142 or more on the moneyline.
• The Phillies and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 55 of their 139 opportunities.
• The Phillies have an against the spread mark of 72-67-0 in 139 games with a line this season.
• The Mets have gone 15-24 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 38.5% of those games).
• When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer, New York has a record of 2-8 (20%).
• The Mets have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 64 times this season for a 64-67-8 record against the over/under.
• The Mets have collected a 65-74-0 record against the spread this season.

Phillies Player Leaders

• Kyle Schwarber has 131 hits and an OBP of .368, both of which are best among Philadelphia hitters this season. He has a .241 batting average and a slugging percentage of .562.
• Among qualified hitters in baseball, he ranks 110th in batting average, 11th in on-base percentage, and fifth in slugging.
• Schwarber hopes to build on a two-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .176 with a home run, five walks and four RBIs.
• Bryce Harper is hitting .263 with 30 doubles, 25 home runs and 58 walks, while slugging .496 with an on-base percentage of .353.
• Among qualifying batters, his batting average places him 62nd, his on-base percentage 33rd, and his slugging percentage 21st.
• Harper has picked up a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .238 with a double, two home runs and three RBIs.
• Bryson Stott has 114 hits this season and has a slash line of .254/.327/.379.
• Stott has recorded at least one base hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with a double, two walks and two RBIs.
• Nick Castellanos has 16 home runs, 65 RBI and a batting average of .253 this season.
• Castellanos heads into this game on a four-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with a double, a triple, two walks and four RBIs.

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto has 136 hits with a .401 on-base percentage, leading the Mets in both statistics. He's batting .264 and slugging .530.
• Including all qualifying hitters in the big leagues, he is 60th in batting average, second in on-base percentage and 13th in slugging percentage.
• Francisco Lindor is slugging .452 to lead his team. He has a batting average of .263 with an on-base percentage of .337.
• Including all qualified hitters, he is 62nd in batting average, 54th in on-base percentage and 57th in slugging percentage.
• Pete Alonso is batting .269 with 37 doubles, a triple, 33 home runs and 56 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo has 27 doubles, 22 home runs and 48 walks while batting .261.

Phillies vs Mets Head to Head

• 9/10/2025: 11-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 9/9/2025: 9-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 9/8/2025: 1-0 PHI (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 8/27/2025: 6-0 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 8/26/2025: 6-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 8/25/2025: 13-3 NYM (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 6/22/2025: 7-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 6/21/2025: 11-4 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 6/20/2025: 10-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -196, Underdog Moneyline: +164)
• 4/23/2025: 4-3 NYM (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)

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