Phillies vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Sept. 11

Odds updated as of 7:16 p.m.

MLB action on Thursday includes the Philadelphia Phillies facing the New York Mets.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.

Phillies vs Mets Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies (86-60) vs. New York Mets (76-70)
• Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025
• Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park -- Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Coverage: FOX

Phillies vs Mets Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: PHI: (-124) | NYM: (+106)
• Spread: PHI: -1.5 (+162) | NYM: +1.5 (-196)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-102) | Under: (-120)

Phillies vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Jesús Luzardo (Phillies) - 13-6, 4.01 ERA vs David Peterson (Mets) - 9-5, 3.72 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Phillies will send Jesus Luzardo (13-6) to the mound, while David Peterson (9-5) will answer the bell for the Mets. Luzardo's team is 13-15-0 against the spread this season in his starts. When Luzardo starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 14-9. The Mets have an 8-16-0 record against the spread in Peterson's starts. The Mets have a 1-4 record in Peterson's five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Phillies vs Mets Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Phillies-Mets, Philadelphia is the favorite at -124, and New York is +106 playing on the road.

Phillies vs Mets Spread

• The Phillies are 1.5-run home favorites on the runline against the Mets. The Phillies are +162 to cover, and the Mets are -196.

Phillies vs Mets Over/Under

• The over/under for Phillies-Mets on Sept. 11 is 8.5. The over is -102, and the under is -120.

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Phillies vs Mets Betting Trends

• The Phillies have come away with 72 wins in the 111 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• Philadelphia has a record of 65-30 in contests when oddsmakers favor them by -124 or more on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Phillies have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 55 of 139 chances this season.
• The Phillies are 72-67-0 against the spread in their 139 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Mets have gone 15-24 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 38.5% of those games).
• New York has gone 8-14 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +106 or longer (36.4%).
• The Mets have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 64 times this season for a 64-67-8 record against the over/under.
• The Mets are 65-74-0 ATS this season.

Phillies Player Leaders

• Kyle Schwarber has 131 hits and an OBP of .368, both of which are tops among Philadelphia hitters this season. He has a .241 batting average and a slugging percentage of .562.
• He ranks 109th in batting average, 11th in on-base percentage, and fifth in slugging among all qualified hitters in MLB.
• Schwarber has picked up at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .176 with a home run, five walks and four RBIs.
• Bryce Harper has 30 doubles, 25 home runs and 58 walks. He's batting .263 and slugging .496 with an on-base percentage of .353.
• Among all qualifying players, he is 62nd in batting average, 33rd in on-base percentage and 21st in slugging percentage.
• Harper takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .238 with a double, two home runs and three RBIs.
• Bryson Stott has 114 hits this season and has a slash line of .254/.327/.379.
• Stott enters this game with three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with a double, two walks and two RBIs.
• Nick Castellanos has 16 home runs, 65 RBI and a batting average of .253 this season.
• Castellanos has safely hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with a double, a triple, two walks and four RBIs.

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto has a team-best OBP (.401), and paces the Mets in hits (136). He's batting .264 and slugging.
• Including all the qualifying players in MLB, he ranks 60th in batting average, second in on-base percentage and 13th in slugging percentage.
• Francisco Lindor leads his team with a .452 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .263 with an on-base percentage of .337.
• He ranks 62nd in batting average, 55th in on-base percentage and 57th in slugging percentage in MLB.
• Pete Alonso has 37 doubles, a triple, 33 home runs and 56 walks while hitting .269.
• Brandon Nimmo has 27 doubles, 22 home runs and 48 walks while batting .261.

Phillies vs Mets Head to Head

• 9/10/2025: 11-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 9/9/2025: 9-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 9/8/2025: 1-0 PHI (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 8/27/2025: 6-0 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 8/26/2025: 6-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 8/25/2025: 13-3 NYM (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 6/22/2025: 7-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 6/21/2025: 11-4 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 6/20/2025: 10-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -196, Underdog Moneyline: +164)
• 4/23/2025: 4-3 NYM (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)

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