Phillies vs Marlins Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 4

Odds updated as of 2:11 a.m.

The MLB's Monday schedule includes the Philadelphia Phillies facing the Miami Marlins.

We've got you covered, in terms of the vital info regarding this game before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Phillies vs Marlins Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies (14-20) vs. Miami Marlins (16-18)
• Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
• Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: loanDepot park -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage: Marlins.TV and NBCS-PH

Phillies vs Marlins Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: PHI: (-116) | MIA: (-102)
• Spread: PHI: -1.5 (+140) | MIA: +1.5 (-170)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-120) | Under: (-102)

Phillies vs Marlins Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Aaron Nola (Phillies) - 1-3, 6.03 ERA vs Janson Junk (Marlins) - 2-2, 3.00 ERA

The Phillies will give the ball to Aaron Nola (1-3, 6.03 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 2 on the season, and the Marlins will counter with Janson Junk (2-2, 3.00 ERA). Nola and his team have a record of 1-5-0 against the spread when he starts. Nola's team has a record of 1-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline. The Marlins have a 3-3-0 record against the spread in Junk's starts. The Marlins were named the moneyline underdog for two Junk starts this season -- they split the games.

Phillies vs Marlins Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Marlins win (56.4%)

Phillies vs Marlins Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Marlins-Phillies, Miami is the underdog at -102, and Philadelphia is -116 playing on the road.

Phillies vs Marlins Spread

• The Marlins are at +1.5 on the runline against the Phillies. The Marlins are -170 to cover the spread, and the Phillies are +140.

Phillies vs Marlins Over/Under

• The over/under for the Phillies versus Marlins game on May 4 has been set at 8.5, with -120 odds on the over and -102 odds on the under.

Bet on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins on FanDuel today!

Phillies vs Marlins Betting Trends

• The Phillies have won in 13, or 52%, of the 25 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• Philadelphia has a record of 13-12 when favored by -116 or more this year.
• The Phillies and their opponents have hit the over in 17 of their 34 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Phillies are 7-27-0 against the spread in their 34 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Marlins have won 20% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (3-12).
• Miami has a 3-10 record (winning just 23.1% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of -102 or longer.
• The Marlins have had an over/under set by bookmakers 33 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 19 of those games (19-13-1).
• The Marlins have a 15-18-0 record ATS this season.

Phillies Player Leaders

• Bryce Harper is batting .256 with eight doubles, a triple, six home runs and 19 walks. He has an on-base percentage of .352 and a slugging percentage of .480.
• Among qualified hitters in the majors, he ranks 76th in batting average, 61st in on-base percentage, and 40th in slugging.
• Kyle Schwarber leads Philadelphia with 27 hits and an OBP of .368 this season. He's batting .220 and slugging .553.
• Among qualified hitters, his batting average ranks him 133rd, his on-base percentage 43rd, and his slugging percentage 13th.
• Brandon Marsh has hit four homers with a team-high .491 SLG this season.
• Marsh has recorded at least one base hit in five straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with three doubles, a walk and two RBIs.
• Trea Turner has an OPS of .679, fueled by an OBP of .304 and a team-best slugging percentage of .375 this season.

Marlins Player Leaders

• Liam Hicks has racked up 30 hits, a team-best for the Marlins. He's batting .309 and slugging .557 with an on-base percentage of .366.
• He ranks 20th in batting average, 44th in on-base percentage and 10th in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters in MLB.
• Xavier Edwards has a .424 OBP to pace his team. He has a batting average of .336 while slugging .472.
• Including all qualifying hitters, he ranks fourth in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage and 44th in slugging percentage.
• Otto Lopez has put up a slugging percentage of .500, a team-best for the Marlins.
• Agustin Ramirez is batting .230 with five doubles, a triple, two home runs and 13 walks.

Phillies vs Marlins Head to Head

• 5/3/2026: 7-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 5/2/2026: 4-0 MIA (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 5/1/2026: 6-5 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 9/25/2025: 1-0 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 9/24/2025: 11-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
• 9/23/2025: 6-5 MIA (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -205, Underdog Moneyline: +172)
• 9/7/2025: 5-4 MIA (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/6/2025: 4-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 9/5/2025: 9-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -235, Underdog Moneyline: +194)
• 6/19/2025: 2-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)

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