Phillies vs Marlins Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 3

Odds updated as of 11:12 p.m.

On Sunday in MLB, the Philadelphia Phillies are up against the Miami Marlins.

All the information you need to make smart wagers on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Phillies vs Marlins Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies (13-20) vs. Miami Marlins (16-17)
• Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026
• Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: loanDepot park -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage: Marlins.TV and NBCS-PH

Phillies vs Marlins Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: PHI: (-142) | MIA: (+120)
• Spread: PHI: -1.5 (+122) | MIA: +1.5 (-146)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Phillies vs Marlins Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Jesús Luzardo (Phillies) - 2-3, 5.50 ERA vs Chris Paddack (Marlins) - 0-4, 6.11 ERA

The Phillies will look to Jesus Luzardo (2-3) against the Marlins and Chris Paddack (0-4). Luzardo and his team are 1-5-0 ATS this season when he starts. Luzardo's team has been victorious in 40% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-3. The Marlins have gone 1-4-0 ATS in Paddack's five starts that had a set spread. The Marlins were the moneyline underdog for three Paddack starts this season -- they lost each time.

Phillies vs Marlins Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Phillies win (56.6%)

Phillies vs Marlins Moneyline

• The Phillies vs Marlins moneyline has Philadelphia as a -142 favorite, while Miami is a +120 underdog at home.

Phillies vs Marlins Spread

• The Marlins are +1.5 on the run line against the Phillies. The Marlins are -146 to cover, and the Phillies are +122.

Phillies vs Marlins Over/Under

• An over/under of 8 has been set for Phillies-Marlins on May 3, with the over being -115 and the under -105.

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Phillies vs Marlins Betting Trends

• The Phillies have been chosen as favorites in 24 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (50%) in those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 9-7 in contests when sportsbooks favor them by -142 or more on the moneyline.
• The Phillies and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 16 of their 33 opportunities.
• The Phillies have an against the spread record of 6-27-0 in 33 games with a line this season.
• The Marlins have been the moneyline underdog 14 total times this season. They've finished 3-11 in those games.
• Miami is 3-7 (winning only 30% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
• The Marlins have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 18 times this season for an 18-13-1 record against the over/under.
• The Marlins have gone 15-17-0 ATS this season.

Phillies Player Leaders

• Bryce Harper is batting .256 with seven doubles, a triple, six home runs and 18 walks. He has an on-base percentage of .350 while slugging .479.
• Among qualified hitters in baseball, he ranks 79th in batting average, 67th in on-base percentage, and 43rd in slugging.
• Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies in OBP (.361) and total hits (25) this season. He's batting .210 while slugging .555.
• He is 148th in batting average, 55th in on-base percentage and 16th in slugging in MLB.
• Trea Turner has hit four homers with a team-high .374 SLG this season.
• Brandon Marsh has been key for Philadelphia with 31 hits, an OBP of .330 plus a slugging percentage of .480.
• Marsh enters this game on a four-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is batting .333 with two doubles and an RBI.

Marlins Player Leaders

• Liam Hicks has 30 hits, a team-best for the Marlins. He's batting .309 and slugging .557 with an on-base percentage of .366.
• Including all the qualified hitters in the big leagues, his batting average puts him 21st, his on-base percentage is 50th, and he is 15th in slugging.
• Xavier Edwards paces his team with a .426 OBP. He has a batting average of .336 while slugging .475.
• Including all qualified hitters, he is second in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage and 46th in slugging percentage.
• Otto Lopez has a .500 slugging percentage, which paces the Marlins.
• Agustin Ramirez is batting .239 with five doubles, a triple, two home runs and 13 walks.

Phillies vs Marlins Head to Head

• 5/2/2026: 4-0 MIA (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 5/1/2026: 6-5 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 9/25/2025: 1-0 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 9/24/2025: 11-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
• 9/23/2025: 6-5 MIA (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -205, Underdog Moneyline: +172)
• 9/7/2025: 5-4 MIA (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/6/2025: 4-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 9/5/2025: 9-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -235, Underdog Moneyline: +194)
• 6/19/2025: 2-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 6/18/2025: 4-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -178, Underdog Moneyline: +150)

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