Pelicans vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 11

Pelicans vs. Heat Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Smoothie King Center -- New Orleans, Louisiana
• Coverage: FDSSUN, Gulf Coast Sports, WVUE, and Pelicans+

The New Orleans Pelicans (15-40) are favored by 1.5 points against the Miami Heat (28-27) on Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on FDSSUN, Gulf Coast Sports, WVUE, and Pelicans+. The point total is set at 231.5 for the matchup.

Pelicans vs. Heat Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Pelicans vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Heat win (63.8%)

Pelicans vs. Heat Betting Trends

• The Pelicans have covered the spread in a matchup 30 times this season (30-24-1).
• The Heat have played 55 games, with 31 wins against the spread.
• This season, 27 of the Pelicans' games have gone over the point total.
• The Heat have gone over the point total 50.9% of the time this season (28 of 55 games with a set point total).
• New Orleans has a better record against the spread at home (17-11-0) than it does on the road (13-13-1).
• At home, the Pelicans go over the total 53.6% of the time (15 of 28 games). They've hit the over in 44.4% of road games (12 of 27 contests).
• This year, Miami is 14-13-0 at home against the spread (.519 winning percentage). On the road, it is 17-10-1 ATS (.607).
• In terms of the over/under, Heat games have finished over 14 of 27 times at home (51.9%), and 14 of 28 away (50%).

Pelicans Leaders

• Trey Murphy III is averaging 22.2 points, 5.7 boards and 3.8 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.5 steals (seventh in league) and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Derik Queen is averaging 12.2 points, 7.3 rebounds and 4.2 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.
• Zion Williamson averages 21.5 points, 6.2 boards and 3.5 assists.
• Saddiq Bey's numbers on the season are 16.6 points, 5.8 rebounds and 2.4 assists per contest, shooting 45% from the floor and 34.5% from downtown, with an average of 1.9 made treys.
• Jeremiah Fears' numbers on the season are 13.2 points, 3.6 rebounds and 3 assists per contest, shooting 43.1% from the floor and 32.8% from downtown, with an average of 1.1 made 3-pointers.

Heat Leaders

• Per game, Bam Adebayo provides the Heat 18.3 points, 9.8 boards and 2.8 assists. He also averages 1 steal and 0.6 blocks.
• The Heat are getting 15.9 points, 5 boards and 2.8 assists per game from Andrew Wiggins.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 15.1 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.7 assists. He is draining 50.7% of his shots from the floor.
• Kel'el Ware's numbers on the season are 11.2 points, 9.2 rebounds and 0.6 assists per contest. He is draining 53.4% of his shots from the field and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.1 triples.
• The Heat are receiving 9 points, 2.5 rebounds and 7.1 assists per game from Davion Mitchell.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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