The key lineup news: Rice is OUT. Sports Mole reports he came out of the Ghana draw nursing a back/nerve issue and Tuchel has protected him for the knockouts. Mainoo slots alongside Anderson — a younger, more dynamic, forward-passing double pivot. Rashford is in on the left, Madueke keeps RW, Bellingham at 10, Kane leads the line. This is still an extremely strong XI.

Goal.com confirms Panama in a 5-4-1 with Fajardo as the lone striker and Carrasquilla OUT. They are eliminated, goalless, and playing for pride. The 2018 precedent: England 6-1 Panama (Kane hat-trick). RotoWire projects 3-0. The key betting angle: England typically manage games and rotate after going up 2-0. Under 2.5 +170 is the primary play.

One interesting note: the Mainoo inclusion over Rice could marginally push goals higher — Mainoo is a more attack-minded passer who arrives late into boxes. However, Covers explicitly backed Under because "once three points are secured, rotation disrupts the game." England hit the Under in their last 4 WC games vs CONCACAF. Panama have hit the Under in three straight.

Lineups.com primary. Covers: "Once three points are secured, Tuchel will rotate key players — that disrupts the game and minimizes risk, keeping the score low." England hit the Under in 6/8 matches and their last 4 WC games vs CONCACAF. Panama hit the Under in 3 straight. England's 0-0 with Ghana shows they don't always flood the net. $10→$27. Playable to -195.

Panama have 0 WC 2026 goals from 19 total shots. England kept clean sheets in all 8 WC qualifying games. Rice's absence has zero defensive impact — Guehi/Konsa centrally and Anderson in midfield maintain England's defensive structure. Panama's Carrasquilla is OUT, further weakening their creativity. Check FD for exact price — significantly better value than the straight -700 ML.

FGS +180 (Sportsgambler FD) is the top Kane value play — scored at 12th minute vs Croatia. Anytime -220 (SBR FD) as a parlay anchor. With Mainoo replacing the more defensive Rice, midfield has more forward dynamism that could generate more central opportunities for Kane. Hat-trick vs Panama in 2018. 2 goals this WC. 79 international goals. Primary PK taker.