Padres vs Rangers Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 5

Odds updated as of 8:13 a.m.

In MLB action on Saturday, the San Diego Padres play the Texas Rangers.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the most important info regarding this matchup.

Padres vs Rangers Game Info

• San Diego Padres (47-40) vs. Texas Rangers (43-45)
• Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
• Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: PETCO Park -- San Diego, California
• Coverage: MLB Network, SDPA, and RSN

Padres vs Rangers Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: SD: (-136) | TEX: (+116)
• Spread: SD: -1.5 (+146) | TEX: +1.5 (-178)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

Padres vs Rangers Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Stephen Kolek (Padres) - 3-3, 3.73 ERA vs Jack Leiter (Rangers) - 4-5, 4.29 ERA

The probable starters are Stephen Kolek (3-3) for the Padres and Jack Leiter (4-5) for the Rangers. Kolek and his team have a record of 7-4-0 against the spread when he starts. Kolek's team is 2-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. The Rangers have gone 7-7-0 ATS in Leiter's 14 starts with a set spread. The Rangers are 3-8 in Leiter's 11 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Padres vs Rangers Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Padres win (56.5%)

Padres vs Rangers Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Rangers-Padres, Texas is the underdog at +116, and San Diego is -136 playing at home.

Padres vs Rangers Spread

• The Rangers are at +1.5 on the runline against the Padres. The Rangers are -178 to cover the spread, and the Padres are +146.

Padres vs Rangers Over/Under

• The Padres-Rangers game on July 5 has been given an over/under of 8.5 runs. The over is set at -105 and the under at -115.

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Padres vs Rangers Betting Trends

• The Padres have been chosen as favorites in 42 games this year and have walked away with the win 26 times (61.9%) in those games.
• San Diego has a record of 20-11 in contests when sportsbooks favor them by -136 or more on the moneyline.
• The Padres and their opponents have gone over in 35 of their 86 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 86 games with a line this season, the Padres have a mark of 46-40-0 against the spread.
• The Rangers have a 14-30 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 31.8% of those games).
• Texas is 3-14 (winning just 17.6% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +116 or longer.
• The Rangers have combined with opponents to go over the total 31 times this season for a 31-55-1 record against the over/under.
• The Rangers have collected a 45-42-0 record ATS this season (covering 51.7% of the time).

Padres Player Leaders

• Manny Machado leads San Diego with 97 hits and an OBP of .357, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .482. He's batting .292.
• Among qualified hitters in MLB, he ranks 16th in batting average, 39th in on-base percentage, and 34th in slugging.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has 11 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 42 walks. He's batting .261 and slugging .445 with an on-base percentage of .351.
• His batting average ranks 72nd among qualified players, his on-base percentage 47th, and his slugging percentage 64th.
• Tatis heads into this game looking to extend his six-game hit streak. In his last 10 games he is batting .205 with a triple, a home run, five walks and four RBIs.
• Luis Arraez has 93 hits this season and has a slash line of .282/.316/.394.
• Gavin Sheets has been key for San Diego with 76 hits, an OBP of .324 plus a slugging percentage of .455.
• Sheets brings a two-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with three walks.

Rangers Player Leaders

• Marcus Semien is batting .238 with 11 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 37 walks. He's slugging .365 with an on-base percentage of .318.
• Including all qualifying hitters in MLB, his batting average puts him 119th, his on-base percentage is 100th, and he is 138th in slugging.
• Semien takes a nine-game hitting streak into this game. In his last 10 games he is hitting .318 with three doubles, two home runs, five walks and 10 RBIs.
• Josh Smith has a .357 OBP while slugging .414. Both lead his team. He has a batting average of .284.
• Including all qualifying hitters, he is 31st in batting average, 39th in on-base percentage and 90th in slugging percentage.
• Adolis Garcia has 18 doubles, 10 home runs and 18 walks while batting .228.
• Corey Seager has eight doubles, 11 home runs and 31 walks while batting .250.

Padres vs Rangers Head to Head

• 7/4/2025: 3-2 SD (Favorite: Rangers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 7/4/2024: 3-1 SD (Favorite: Rangers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 7/3/2024: 6-4 SD (Favorite: Rangers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 7/2/2024: 7-0 TEX (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 7/30/2023: 5-3 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
• 7/29/2023: 4-0 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -184, Underdog Moneyline: +154)
• 7/28/2023: 7-1 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)

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