Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 8

Odds updated as of 7:11 a.m.

The MLB slate on Tuesday includes the San Diego Padres facing the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Game Info

• San Diego Padres (48-42) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (45-46)
• Date: Tuesday, July 8, 2025
• Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: PETCO Park -- San Diego, California
• Coverage: SDPA and ARID

Padres vs Diamondbacks Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: SD: (-130) | ARI: (+110)
• Spread: SD: -1.5 (+172) | ARI: +1.5 (-210)
• Total: 7.5 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (-100)

Padres vs Diamondbacks Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Nick Pivetta (Padres) - 9-2, 3.25 ERA vs Merrill Kelly (Diamondbacks) - 7-4, 3.55 ERA

The probable starters are Nick Pivetta (9-2) for the Padres and Merrill Kelly (7-4) for the Diamondbacks. Pivetta's team is 10-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Pivetta's team has a record of 5-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline. The Diamondbacks have a 6-10-0 record against the spread in Kelly's starts. The Diamondbacks have been the underdog on the moneyline in five of Kelly's starts this season, and they went 1-4 in those matchups.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Padres win (54%)

Padres vs Diamondbacks Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Padres-Diamondbacks, San Diego is the favorite at -130, and Arizona is +110 playing on the road.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Spread

• The Diamondbacks are at the Padres, and are +1.5 on the runline. The Diamondbacks are +172 to cover the spread, and the Padres are -210.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Over/Under

• The over/under for Padres-Diamondbacks on July 8 is 7.5. The over is -122, and the under is -100.

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Padres vs Diamondbacks Betting Trends

• The Padres have been favorites in 45 games this season and have come away with the win 27 times (60%) in those contests.
• San Diego has a record of 24-14 when favored by -130 or more this year.
• The Padres and their opponents have gone over in 37 of their 89 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Padres are 47-42-0 against the spread in their 89 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Diamondbacks have won 13 of the 28 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (46.4%).
• Arizona has gone 9-4 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer (69.2%).
• The Diamondbacks have played in 88 games with a set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 47 times (47-37-4).
• The Diamondbacks have covered 46.6% of their games this season, going 41-47-0 against the spread.

Padres Player Leaders

• Manny Machado has 101 hits to go with a slugging percentage of .484, both of which rank first among San Diego hitters this season. He has a .293 batting average and an on-base percentage of .354.
• Among all qualifying batters in MLB, he ranks 18th in batting average, 42nd in on-base percentage, and 32nd in slugging.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has 87 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .356. He's batting .259 and slugging .440.
• He is 78th in batting average, 35th in on-base percentage and 65th in slugging among qualified hitters.
• Luis Arraez has collected 100 base hits, an OBP of .327 and a slugging percentage of .401 this season.
• Arraez enters this game with four games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .450 with two walks and two RBIs.
• Gavin Sheets has been key for San Diego with 78 hits, an OBP of .321 plus a slugging percentage of .445.

Diamondbacks Player Leaders

• Geraldo Perdomo has accumulated a team-best .371 on-base percentage. He's batting .271 and slugging .413.
• Including all qualified players, he ranks 52nd in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 21st and he is 91st in slugging.
• Josh Naylor's .469 slugging percentage leads his team. He has a batting average of .299 with an on-base percentage of .358.
• Including all qualifying hitters, he ranks 10th in batting average, 32nd in on-base percentage and 43rd in slugging percentage.
• Eugenio Suarez is batting .252 with 17 doubles, 28 home runs and 23 walks.
• Corbin Carroll has 75 hits to lead his team.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Head to Head

• 7/7/2025: 6-3 ARI (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 6/15/2025: 8-2 SD (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 6/14/2025: 8-7 ARI (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -168, Underdog Moneyline: +142)
• 6/13/2025: 5-1 ARI (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 9/29/2024: 11-2 ARI (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -220, Underdog Moneyline: +184)
• 9/28/2024: 5-0 SD (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -220, Underdog Moneyline: +184)
• 9/27/2024: 5-3 SD (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 7/7/2024: 9-1 ARI (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -174, Underdog Moneyline: +146)
• 7/6/2024: 7-5 ARI (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 7/5/2024: 10-8 SD (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)

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