Oregon vs Liberty Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

The No. 5 seed Oregon Ducks (24-9) will aim to defeat the No. 12 seed Liberty Flames (28-6) in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Friday at Climate Pledge Arena. This contest tips off at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Oregon vs. Liberty Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 21, 2025
• Game time: 10:10 p.m. ET
• TV channel: truTV
• Location: Seattle, Washington
• Arena: Climate Pledge Arena

Oregon vs. Liberty Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Oregon win (50%)

Take a look at some betting trends and insights for Oregon (-6.5) versus Liberty on Friday. The over/under is set at 137.5 points for this game.

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Oregon vs. Liberty: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Oregon has covered 16 times in 33 games with a spread this season.
• Liberty has won 19 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 11 times.
• Against the spread, the Ducks have performed worse at home, covering six times in 16 home games, and five times in 11 road games.
• The Flames have performed better against the spread away (9-2-0) than at home (5-7-0) this season.

Oregon vs. Liberty: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Oregon has been victorious in 20, or 80%, of the 25 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Ducks have not lost in 12 games this year when favored by -295 or better on the moneyline.
• Liberty has been the moneyline underdog a total of four times this season, and it has won each of those games.
• The Flames have not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +235 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Oregon has a 74.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Oregon vs. Liberty Head-to-Head Comparison

• Oregon averages 76.2 points per game (111th in college basketball) while giving up 70.9 per contest (144th in college basketball). It has a +174 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 5.3 points per game.
• Nathan Bittle's team-leading 14.1 points per game ranks 368th in the nation.
• Liberty's +465 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 13.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 76.6 points per game (103rd in college basketball) while allowing 62.9 per outing (eighth in college basketball).
• Taelon Peter is 392nd in college basketball with a team-leading 13.9 points per game.
• The Ducks grab 31.5 rebounds per game (199th in college basketball) compared to the 30.6 of their opponents.
• Bittle averages 7.4 rebounds per game (ranking 119th in college basketball) to lead the Ducks.
• The Flames pull down 30.2 rebounds per game (287th in college basketball), compared to the 31.1 of their opponents.
• Zach Cleveland paces the Flames with 6.3 rebounds per game (258th in college basketball).
• Oregon averages 98.1 points per 100 possessions (112th in college basketball), while giving up 91.4 points per 100 possessions (125th in college basketball).
• The Flames average 104.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (23rd in college basketball), and concede 85.5 points per 100 possessions (17th in college basketball).

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