Omaha vs UMKC Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Summit League Tournament

The No. 1 seed Omaha Mavericks (19-12, 13-3 Summit League) and the No. 8 seed UMKC Kangaroos (13-19, 4-12 Summit League) play in the Summit League tournament Thursday at Denny Sanford Premier Center, tipping off at 7 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Omaha vs. UMKC Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Thursday, March 6, 2025
- Game time: 7 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Summit League Network
- Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
- Arena: Denny Sanford Premier Center
Omaha vs. UMKC Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Omaha win (52.3%)
Before you wager on Thursday's Omaha-UMKC spread (Omaha -3.5) or total (137.5 points), read the betting trends and insights below.
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Omaha vs. UMKC: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Omaha is 20-9-0 ATS this season.
- UMKC has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 14 times.
- Omaha covers the spread when it is a 3.5-point favorite or more 66.7% of the time. That's less often than UMKC covers as an underdog of 3.5 or more (75%).
- When playing at home, the Mavericks have a worse record against the spread (7-4-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (12-4-0).
- In 2024-25 against the spread, the Kangaroos have a better winning percentage at home (.636, 7-4-0 record) than away (.429, 6-8-0).
- Omaha is 11-5-0 against the spread in conference action this year.
- UMKC is 9-8-0 against the spread in Summit League games this season.
Omaha vs. UMKC: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Omaha has been the moneyline favorite in nine games this season and has come away with the win eight times (88.9%) in those contests.
- The Mavericks have not lost in six games this year when favored by -170 or better on the moneyline.
- UMKC has won 20% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (3-12).
- The Kangaroos are 1-7 (winning only 12.5% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +140 or longer.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Omaha has a 63% chance of walking away with the win.
Omaha vs. UMKC Head-to-Head Comparison
- Omaha outscores opponents by 1.9 points per game (scoring 77.4 per game to rank 91st in college basketball while allowing 75.5 per contest to rank 283rd in college basketball) and has a +59 scoring differential overall.
- Marquel Sutton's team-leading 18.8 points per game ranks 48th in the nation.
- UMKC has a +177 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.6 points per game. It is putting up 72.7 points per game, 217th in college basketball, and is giving up 67.1 per outing to rank 48th in college basketball.
- Jamar Brown paces UMKC, averaging 16.7 points per game (132nd in college basketball).
- The 32.2 rebounds per game the Mavericks average rank 170th in the nation, and are 3.3 more than the 28.9 their opponents grab per contest.
- Sutton tops the team with 7.5 rebounds per game (105th in college basketball play).
- The Kangaroos average 32.8 rebounds per game (132nd in college basketball) while conceding 27.6 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 5.2 boards per game.
- Brown is 117th in college basketball with 7.4 rebounds per game, leading the Kangaroos.
- Omaha scores 101.6 points per 100 possessions (52nd in college basketball), while allowing 99.1 points per 100 possessions (324th in college basketball).
- The Kangaroos put up 97.2 points per 100 possessions (141st in college basketball), while allowing 89.8 points per 100 possessions (90th in college basketball).
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