Ole Miss vs Arkansas Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SEC Tournament

The No. 8 seed Ole Miss Rebels (21-10, 10-8 SEC) square off against the No. 9 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (20-12, 8-10 SEC) in the SEC tournament Thursday at Bridgestone Arena, beginning at 1 p.m. ET. Both teams will attempt to get one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Ole Miss vs. Arkansas Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
• Game time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Location: Nashville, Tennessee
• Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Ole Miss vs. Arkansas Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Ole Miss win (58.2%)

Ole Miss is a 3.5-point favorite over Arkansas on Thursday and the total is set at 144.5 points. Here are a few betting trends and insights before making an informed wager on the matchup.

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Ole Miss vs. Arkansas: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Ole Miss is 15-16-0 ATS this season.
• Arkansas has put together a 15-17-0 record against the spread this year.
• Ole Miss (8-10) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 3.5 points or more this season (44.4%) than Arkansas (7-5) does as a 3.5+-point underdog (58.3%).
• The Rebels have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered seven times in 16 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered four times in 11 opportunities in road games.
• This season, the Razorbacks are 9-8-0 at home against the spread (.529 winning percentage). Away, they are 5-5-0 ATS (.500).
• Ole Miss is 7-11-0 against the spread in conference games this season.
• Arkansas has 10 wins against the spread in 19 SEC games this season.

Ole Miss vs. Arkansas: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Ole Miss has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 18 games this year and has walked away with the win 16 times (88.9%) in those games.
• The Rebels have been a -178 moneyline favorite on 16 occasions this season and won every game.
• Arkansas has put together a 5-9 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 35.7% of those games).
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +146 or longer, the Razorbacks have gone 3-6 (33.3%).
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Ole Miss has a 64% chance of pulling out a win.

Ole Miss vs. Arkansas Head-to-Head Comparison

• Ole Miss outscores opponents by 5.8 points per game (scoring 77.6 per game to rank 85th in college basketball while allowing 71.8 per outing to rank 179th in college basketball) and has a +182 scoring differential overall.
• Sean Pedulla is 255th in college basketball with a team-high 15.1 points per game.
• Arkansas has a +183 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.7 points per game. It is putting up 76.5 points per game, 105th in college basketball, and is allowing 70.8 per outing to rank 143rd in college basketball.
• Adou Thiero's team-leading 15.7 points per game rank him 206th in the nation.
• The Rebels fall short in the rebound battle by an average of 3.7 boards. They are pulling down 29.7 rebounds per game (308th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 33.4 per outing.
• Malik Dia leads the team with 5.6 rebounds per game (417th in college basketball action).
• The 31.9 rebounds per game the Razorbacks accumulate rank 184th in college basketball. Their opponents record 31.5.
• Thiero's six rebounds per game lead the Razorbacks and rank 323rd in the nation.
• Ole Miss averages 100 points per 100 possessions on offense (81st in college basketball), and gives up 92.4 points per 100 possessions (154th in college basketball).
• The Razorbacks rank 130th in college basketball averaging 97.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 96th, allowing 90.2 points per 100 possessions.

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