Ohio vs Toledo Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MAC Tournament

The No. 5 seed Ohio Bobcats (16-15, 10-8 MAC) take on the No. 4 seed Toledo Rockets (17-14, 10-8 MAC) in the MAC tournament Thursday at Rocket Arena, beginning at 1:30 p.m. ET. Both teams will attempt to get one step closer to securing an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Ohio vs. Toledo Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
• Game time: 1:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Arena: Rocket Arena

Ohio vs. Toledo Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Ohio win (60.2%)

Before you bet on Thursday's Ohio-Toledo spread (Ohio -2.5) or total (159.5 points), take a look at the betting trends and insights below.

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Ohio vs. Toledo: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Ohio is 12-18-0 ATS this season.
• Toledo is 13-17-0 ATS this season.
• Ohio (8-13) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (38.1%) than Toledo (4-4) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (50%).
• Against the spread, the Bobcats have played better when playing at home, covering eight times in 14 home games, and three times in 13 road games.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Rockets have a lower winning percentage at home (.250, 3-9-0 record) than away (.600, 9-6-0).
• Ohio has covered the spread nine times in 18 conference games.
• Against the spread in MAC games, Toledo is 6-12-0 this season.

Ohio vs. Toledo: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Ohio has been the moneyline favorite in 22 games this season and has come away with the win 13 times (59.1%) in those contests.
• The Bobcats have a mark of 13-7 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -146 or better on the moneyline.
• Toledo is 5-8 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 38.5% of those games).
• The Rockets have a 1-7 record (winning only 12.5% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +122 or longer.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Ohio has a 59.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Ohio vs. Toledo Head-to-Head Comparison

• Ohio is outscoring opponents by 3.5 points per game with a +110 scoring differential overall. It puts up 79.6 points per game (46th in college basketball) and allows 76.1 per contest (297th in college basketball).
• AJ Clayton is 355th in college basketball with a team-leading 14.2 points per game.
• Toledo puts up 78.2 points per game (74th in college basketball) while allowing 79.4 per contest (342nd in college basketball). It has a -37 scoring differential and has been outscored by 1.2 points per game.
• Sam Lewis' team-leading 15.9 points per game rank him 192nd in the country.
• The Bobcats lose the rebound battle by an average of 3.1 boards. They are collecting 29 rebounds per game (326th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 32.1 per outing.
• Clayton is 484th in college basketball play with 5.4 rebounds per game to lead the Bobcats.
• The Rockets rank 261st in college basketball at 30.7 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 31.6 their opponents average.
• Javan Simmons is 231st in college basketball with 6.5 rebounds per game, leading the Rockets.
• Ohio ranks 66th in college basketball with 100.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 264th in college basketball defensively with 96.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Rockets rank 78th in college basketball with 100.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 346th defensively with 101.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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