Northwestern vs Minnesota Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big Ten Tournament

The No. 13 seed Northwestern Wildcats (16-15, 7-13 Big Ten) head into the Big Ten tournament against the No. 12 seed Minnesota Golden Gophers (15-16, 7-13 Big Ten) on Wednesday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, tipping off at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Northwestern vs. Minnesota Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
- Game time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Peacock
- Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
- Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Northwestern vs. Minnesota Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Northwestern win (65.9%)
Check out the betting insights and trends below before making a wager on Wednesday's Northwestern-Minnesota spread (Northwestern -2.5) or over/under (127.5 points).
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Northwestern vs. Minnesota: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Northwestern has covered 16 times in 31 matchups with a spread this season.
- Minnesota is 11-20-0 ATS this season.
- Northwestern (8-6) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (57.1%) than Minnesota (9-8) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (52.9%).
- The Wildcats sport a worse record against the spread when playing at home (8-9-0) than they do in road games (6-5-0).
- The Golden Gophers have performed better against the spread on the road (6-4-0) than at home (5-14-0) this season.
- Northwestern has 10 wins against the spread in 20 conference games this year.
- Minnesota has covered the spread nine times in 20 Big Ten games.
Northwestern vs. Minnesota: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Northwestern has been the moneyline favorite in 14 games this season and has come away with the win 12 times (85.7%) in those contests.
- This season, the Wildcats have been victorious 12 times in 14 chances when named as a favorite of at least -140 or better on the moneyline.
- Minnesota has won 36.8% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (7-12).
- The Golden Gophers have a 7-10 record (winning 41.2% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +116 or longer.
- Northwestern has an implied victory probability of 58.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Northwestern vs. Minnesota Head-to-Head Comparison
- Northwestern has a +107 scoring differential, topping opponents by 3.4 points per game. It is putting up 72.7 points per game to rank 213th in college basketball and is giving up 69.3 per outing to rank 94th in college basketball.
- Nick Martinelli's 20.2 points per game lead Northwestern and are 14th in the country.
- Minnesota is being outscored by 1.4 points per game, with a -45 scoring differential overall. It puts up 68.2 points per game (317th in college basketball), and allows 69.6 per outing (99th in college basketball).
- Dawson Garcia's team-leading 19.1 points per game rank him 40th in college basketball.
- The 30.6 rebounds per game the Wildcats average rank 268th in the nation. Their opponents pull down 30.9 per contest.
- Martinelli is 285th in college basketball play with 6.2 rebounds per game to lead the Wildcats.
- The Golden Gophers are 272nd in the nation at 30.5 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 31.0 their opponents average.
- Garcia averages 7.5 rebounds per game (108th in college basketball) to lead the Golden Gophers.
- Northwestern averages 96.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (160th in college basketball), and gives up 91.8 points per 100 possessions (135th in college basketball).
- The Golden Gophers rank 254th in college basketball averaging 93.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 229th, allowing 95.0 points per 100 possessions.
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