North Carolina vs Wake Forest Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for ACC Tournament

The No. 5 seed North Carolina Tar Heels (21-12, 13-7 ACC) play the No. 4 seed Wake Forest Demon Deacons (21-10, 13-7 ACC) in the ACC tournament Thursday at Spectrum Center, tipping off at 2:30 p.m. ET. Both teams will look to take one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
• Game time: 2:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
• Arena: Spectrum Center

North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: North Carolina win (66.4%)

Before placing a bet on Thursday's North Carolina-Wake Forest spread (North Carolina -5.5) or over/under (147.5 points), take a look at the betting trends and insights below.

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North Carolina vs. Wake Forest: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• North Carolina has compiled a 13-20-0 record against the spread this season.
• Wake Forest has put together a 14-17-0 ATS record so far this season.
• As a 5.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Wake Forest is 2-6 against the spread compared to the 10-9 ATS record North Carolina racks up as a 5.5-point favorite.
• Against the spread, the Tar Heels have played better when playing at home, covering seven times in 15 home games, and four times in 12 road games.
• Against the spread, the Demon Deacons have had better results on the road (6-6-0) than at home (6-10-0).
• North Carolina has beaten the spread eight times in 21 conference games.
• Wake Forest's ACC record against the spread is 11-9-0.

North Carolina vs. Wake Forest: Moneyline Betting Stats

• North Carolina has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 24 games this year and has walked away with the win 20 times (83.3%) in those games.
• This year, the Tar Heels have won 16 of 18 games when listed as at least -220 or better on the moneyline.
• Wake Forest has won 36.4% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (4-7).
• The Demon Deacons are 1-7 (winning only 12.5% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +180 or longer.
• North Carolina has an implied victory probability of 68.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Head-to-Head Comparison

• North Carolina is outscoring opponents by 6.0 points per game with a +198 scoring differential overall. It puts up 81.5 points per game (25th in college basketball) and gives up 75.5 per outing (282nd in college basketball).
• North Carolina's leading scorer, RJ Davis, ranks 106th in the country putting up 17.1 points per game.
• Wake Forest puts up 70.5 points per game (270th in college basketball) while allowing 68.0 per outing (63rd in college basketball). It has a +78 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 2.5 points per game.
• Hunter Sallis is 70th in the country with a team-leading 18.0 points per game.
• The 33.2 rebounds per game the Tar Heels average rank 105th in the nation, and are 2.1 more than the 31.1 their opponents grab per outing.
• Ven-Allen Lubin's 5.3 rebounds per game lead the Tar Heels and rank 512th in college basketball play.
• The 30.2 rebounds per game the Demon Deacons accumulate rank 289th in the country, 1.3 fewer than the 31.5 their opponents pull down.
• Tre'Von Spillers' 7.5 rebounds per game lead the Demon Deacons and rank 108th in the country.
• North Carolina averages 102.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (34th in college basketball), and allows 95.2 points per 100 possessions (234th in college basketball).
• The Demon Deacons average 93.0 points per 100 possessions on offense (257th in college basketball), and give up 89.7 points per 100 possessions (83rd in college basketball).

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