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North Carolina vs Alabama Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - December 4

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North Carolina vs Alabama Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - December 4

The North Carolina Tar Heels (4-3) go up against the Alabama Crimson Tide (6-2) on December 4, 2024. The matchup airs on ESPN.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

North Carolina vs. Alabama Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Wednesday, December 4, 2024
  • Game time: 7:15 PM ET
  • TV channel: ESPN
  • Location: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • Arena: Dean E. Smith Center

North Carolina vs. Alabama Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: North Carolina win (75.2%)

See the betting trends and insights below before placing a bet on Wednesday's North Carolina-Alabama spread (North Carolina -1.5) or total (174.5 points).

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North Carolina vs. Alabama: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • North Carolina has covered three times in seven matchups with a spread this season.
  • Alabama has covered three times in eight games with a spread this season.
  • When the spread is set as 1.5 or more this season, North Carolina (2-3) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (40%) than Alabama (1-0) does as the underdog (100%).
  • Against the spread last year, the Tar Heels performed worse when played at home, covering eight times in 15 home games, and seven times in 10 road games.
  • The Crimson Tide were better against the spread at home (11-5-0) than away (5-5-0) last season.

North Carolina vs. Alabama: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • North Carolina has come away with four wins in the five contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Tar Heels have come away with a win four times in five chances when named as a favorite of at least -128 or better on the moneyline.
  • Alabama has been listed as the moneyline underdog just one other time so far this season, a game it won.
  • The Crimson Tide have played as a moneyline underdog of +106 or longer in only one game this season, which they won.
  • North Carolina has an implied victory probability of 56.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

North Carolina vs. Alabama Head-to-Head Comparison

  • North Carolina averages 89.7 points per game (seventh in college basketball) while allowing 80.1 per contest (336th in college basketball). It has a +67 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 9.6 points per game.
  • RJ Davis leads North Carolina, putting up 18.4 points per game (63rd in the country).
  • Alabama has a +85 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.6 points per game. It is putting up 88.6 points per game, 11th in college basketball, and is allowing 78 per contest to rank 318th in college basketball.
  • Mark Sears is ranked 177th in the nation with a team-leading 16 points per game.
  • The Tar Heels rank 121st in the country at 34.7 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 33.9 their opponents average.
  • Jae'Lyn Withers leads the team with 5.9 rebounds per game (364th in college basketball action).
  • The Crimson Tide come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 8.8 boards. They are collecting 40.3 rebounds per game (sixth in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 31.5.
  • Grant Nelson's 7.8 rebounds per game lead the Crimson Tide and rank 94th in college basketball.
  • North Carolina scores 108.4 points per 100 possessions (17th in college basketball), while giving up 96.8 points per 100 possessions (305th in college basketball).
  • The Crimson Tide average 103.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (52nd in college basketball), and give up 91.4 points per 100 possessions (213th in college basketball).

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