NHL Picks Today: NHL Predictions, Props and Best Bets for Tuesday, Nov. 10

Today’s Top NHL Picks at a Glance
- Colorado Avalanche Moneyline (-154)
- Matt Boldy Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-106)
- Devils-Jets Over 6.5 Goals (+112)
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Tuesday's seven-game NHL slate offers several intriguing betting opportunities, with matchups featuring some of the league's most productive offenses and a handful of vulnerable defenses.
The Colorado Avalanche bring one of the NHL's highest-scoring attacks into Toronto while the Minnesota Wild and Montreal Canadiens meet in a matchup featuring several dangerous offensive players. Meanwhile, the New Jersey Devils and Winnipeg Jets have special-teams weaknesses that could contribute to a high-scoring contest.
Here are three NHL bets to consider for Tuesday, using current-season production, possession metrics, and other advanced statistics.
For additional NHL insights, check out FanDuel Research's daily NHL projections, which are powered by numberFire.
NHL odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.
NHL Predictions Today: Player Props, Best Bets
Colorado Avalanche Moneyline (-154)
Avalanche at Maple Leafs — 7:00 p.m. ET
Moneyline
The Colorado Avalanche have been one of the NHL's most productive offensive teams this season, averaging 4.0 goals and 30.6 shots on goal per game. That should put pressure on a Toronto Maple Leafs defense surrendering 3.4 goals and 29.6 shots per contest.
Colorado also has the advantage in several important possession metrics. The Avalanche have generated a 53.3% share of expected goals at five-on-five, compared to Toronto's 45.9% mark. Colorado's 52.8% Corsi For percentage is another encouraging number, indicating the Avalanche have controlled a majority of shot attempts during five-on-five play.
The Maple Leafs have struggled lately, losing five of their previous six games, while Colorado enters following a 4-0 win over Detroit. Toronto's power play, which is converting at a 28.6% clip, presents a legitimate threat. However, the Avalanche's stronger overall shot-generation profile and offensive efficiency make them the preferred side.
Matt Boldy Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-106)
Wild at Canadiens — 7:00 p.m. ET
Matt Boldy Shots on Goal
Matt Boldy has been a shot-generating machine for Minnesota this season, recording 81 shots on goal through 19 games. That's an average of 4.26 shots per contest, putting him comfortably above the four shots needed to hit this wager.
Boldy's substantial playing time is another reason to like this prop. He's averaging 21:29 of ice time per game and has cleared 3.5 shots in 11 of his 19 appearances, including 12 of his last 20 games dating back to last season.
His offensive deployment is encouraging, too. Boldy has been skating alongside Kirill Kaprizov and Joel Eriksson Ek while also featuring on Minnesota's top power-play unit. That gives him several opportunities to generate shots, particularly when the Wild establish sustained offensive-zone pressure.
Montreal has allowed 28.4 shots on goal per game this season, so they’re a reasonable matchup for a high-volume shooter. With Boldy's playing time, offensive responsibilities, and consistent shot production, there's a strong statistical argument for him reaching at least four shots.
Devils-Jets Over 6.5 Goals (+112)
Devils at Jets — 7:00 p.m. ET
Total Goals
The New Jersey Devils have been an offensive powerhouse, averaging 3.61 goals and 33.7 shots on goal per game. They also boast a 56.9% share of five-on-five shot attempts, suggesting their production is supported by an ability to control possession.
That could create problems for a Winnipeg Jets defense allowing 3.50 goals and 28.6 shots on goal per contest. Winnipeg has also struggled in goal, posting a collective .8777 save percentage through its first 18 games.
There's reason to expect scoring opportunities at the other end, as well. New Jersey owns a 67.6% penalty-kill rate, one of the NHL's worst marks. Winnipeg hasn't been particularly effective on the penalty kill, either, sitting at 71.7%. Those special-teams numbers create additional opportunities for both offenses to capitalize.
The Devils have also been particularly dangerous lately, generating plenty of shots and scoring consistently. While New Jersey's defensive structure is impressive, Winnipeg's issues preventing goals and the teams' respective penalty-killing struggles make the over worth considering at plus-money odds.
NHL Betting -- Frequently Asked Questions
What Is the Puck Line in NHL Betting?
The puck line is hockey's version of a point spread. The standard puck line is usually set at 1.5 goals, meaning a team listed at -1.5 must win by at least two goals for the bet to cash. A team at +1.5 can either win outright or lose by one goal.
What Does the Moneyline Mean in NHL Betting?
A moneyline bet is a wager on which team will win the game. Favorites have negative odds, while underdogs have positive odds. Unlike the puck line, the margin of victory does not matter.
What Are NHL Player Props?
NHL player props allow bettors to wager on an individual player's performance rather than the final result of the game. Common markets include goals, assists, points, shots on goal, and goalie saves.
What Should You Consider When Betting on NHL Games?
Several factors can influence NHL betting decisions, including starting goaltenders, injuries, recent team performance, special-teams play, expected line combinations, and whether a team is playing on consecutive nights. Because goalie confirmations can significantly impact a matchup, it can be useful to check the latest lineup news before placing a bet.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.



