NFL Week 10 Bold Predictions: 3 Big Calls for This Week

Fantasy Football Bold Predictions at a Glance

• Josh Allen Finishes Outside the Top 12 Fantasy QBs
• The Cardinals Don’t Score a Touchdown — Again
• Kyren Williams Scores Two Touchdowns

If you want more FanDuel Research content, be sure to add FanDuel as a preferred source on Google.

Fantasy football is all about making the right calls before the games begin, and sometimes that means going against the grain.

Each week, there are players poised to outperform expectations, surprise us with their production, or fall short of what fantasy managers are expecting. While these predictions are certainly bold, they’re not pulled out of thin air. Matchups, usage, game environment and recent trends can all point toward an outcome that the consensus may be overlooking.

With that in mind, here are some bold predictions to keep an eye on this week.

All NFL odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published. Check out all of our NFL picks.

NFL Bold Predictions This Week (Week 10)

Josh Allen Finishes Outside the Top 12 Fantasy QBs

Josh Allen is one of fantasy football's safest quarterbacks, but his Week 10 road game at the New York Jets could turn into a surprisingly quiet fantasy outing.

Allen managed just 234 passing yards, 15 rushing yards and one passing touchdown in a rough road matchup versus the Minnesota Vikings in Week 9, giving him 12.9 fantasy points under standard quarterback scoring. Allen’s rushing yardage has now been capped at 30 or fewer in four of his past five appearances, which lowers both his floor and ceiling.

The Jets certainly aren’t as good defensively as the Vikings are, with Gang Green ranking 24th in defensive expected points added (EPA) allowed per play (+0.058). But with that said, the game versus the Jets is a road division matchup on a short week, so I don’t think it’ll be a cakewalk.

Allen's fantasy upside makes this a scary recommendation, yet a comfortable Buffalo win without a rushing score from Allen could leave him outside the weekly QB1 tier.

The Cardinals Don’t Score a Touchdown — Again

Last week’s bold predictions article went 1 for 3. The one hit was this exact recommendation in the Arizona Cardinals-Seattle Seahawks matchup. I’m going back to the well again this week and predicting another TD-less game for the Cards.

The Cardinals managed only three points in their Week 9 loss to Seattle, and a date with the Los Angeles Rams is another tough matchup — especially for Carson Beck‘s debut. Oh, and Beck won’t have the services of Michael Wilson (injury), their top wideout.

Through nine games, Arizona is averaging just 4.6 yards per play and has an explosive-play rate of 5.2% (31st in the NFL) while its offense sits at -0.02 EPA per play. Los Angeles, meanwhile, ranks fourth in defensive EPA allowed per play (-0.114) and is getting healtier.

Arizona produced just 18 points when these clubs met in Week 6. The Cardinals are certainly capable of reaching the end zone, but a rookie QB making his debut against an efficient defense creates a plausible path to a second straight touchdown-free game.

Kyren Williams Scores Two Touchdowns

The Rams have gotten seven total touchdowns (six rushing) from Kyren Williams this season, but Williams has started to split more and more work with Blake Corum.

Despite that, I like Williams to touch paint a couple times in the aforementioned matchup against Arizona.

Williams’ 127 carries and 36 receptions demonstrate a workload that gives him multiple paths to the end zone. Even with Corum’s emergence, Williams has handled 18 and 17 touches the past two games, and with both Puka Nacua and Davante Adams sidelined, the Rams may really lean on the run this week in a game where they are 9.5-point favorites.

The Cardinals have allowed touchdowns on 70.0% of opponents' red-zone trips, the sixth-highest rate in the league, while the Rams have converted 64.5% of their own red-zone opportunities into touchdowns.

With Los Angeles positioned to generate scoring chances, Williams has an opportunity to reach pay dirt twice, even if Corum continues to garner some of the backfield work.

Fantasy Football Bold Predictions FAQ

What is a bold prediction in fantasy football?

A bold prediction is an outcome that goes beyond the week's consensus expectations but still has a realistic path to happening. That could include a player significantly outperforming his ranking, an unexpected breakout game, or a highly ranked player struggling.

What factors go into weekly fantasy football bold predictions?

Matchups, injuries, projected workload, target volume, snap rate, recent performance, and changes to a player's role can all factor into weekly bold predictions.

Should bold predictions influence start/sit decisions?

They can provide another perspective, but they shouldn't be the only factor in a lineup decision. Fantasy managers should also consider player rankings, projected usage, matchup quality, and their available alternatives.

New customers can get $200 in Bonus Bets -- guaranteed -- when you bet $5 each day for four days. Place your first wager now! See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today's other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

Which bets stand out to you this week? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's latest NFL odds to see the full menu of options.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.