NFL Picks Today: Best NFL Late Slate Props and Predictions

Today’s Best Late Slate NFL Props in Summary

• Ashton Jeanty Under 81.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115)
• Aaron Jones to Score a Touchdown (-165)

The NFL doesn’t end with the 1:00 ET slate of games. The NFL's late-afternoon Sunday slate offers a smaller group of games, but that does not mean there is a shortage of appealing betting opportunities.

Using our NFL projections as a guide, here are some NFL player props and betting picks we like for today’s late slate.

All NFL odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published. Bets in this article may be pulled from our other NFL betting content.

NFL Picks, Prop Bets for Today’s Late Slate

Ashton Jeanty Under 81.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115)

Chiefs vs. Raiders (4:25 p.m. ET)

It’s been a rough start to the season for Ashton Jeanty and the Las Vegas Raiders‘ run game. It might get worse today versus the Kansas City Chiefs.

Through three weeks, Jeanty is averaging just 3.3 yards per carry. His average of 68.7 rushing yards per game doesn’t look too bad, but he’s needed a whopping 21.0 rushing attempts per game to get there. It’s not all Jeanty’s fault as he’s got just 1.6 yards before contact per carry, but he’s also been credited with only four broken tackles this year.

I don’t think it’s crazy to suggest that he might start losing touches to Mike Washington, who is averaging 6.8 yards per rush on 15 carries.

Jeanty has, however, added 32.3 receiving yards per game, so he’s averaging 101.0 rushing plus receiving yards per game. The market clearly thinks he’s going to be below that average, and I agree.

The Chiefs have been stingy on D through three games, permitting the third-fewest yards per play overall (4.7) and ranking in the top eight for fewest rushing yards and fewest catches allowed to RBs.

In a bad matchup against an elite defense and struggling mightily in the efficiency department, Jeanty should have a hard time clearing 81.5 rushing plus receiving yards unless he’s able to pop for a big play.

Aaron Jones to Score a TD (-165)

Dolphins vs. Vikings (4:05 p.m. ET)

Aaron Jones checks a lot of boxes.

The Minnesota Vikings are short-handed on offense, missing Jordan Mason and also likely to be without Justin Jefferson. That should funnel more volume Jones’ way. Sans Mason the last two weeks, Jones has played 80% and 81% of the snaps while handling a combined 40 carries and six targets.

Yes, please.

The matchup is an elite one as the Miami Dolphins have given up the fifth-most yards per play on defense and have already permitted three rushing touchdowns. Plus, the Vikings are 10.5-point favorites, which should lead to a run-heavy script.

These odds are steep, but the stage is set for Jones to have a field day.

NFL Prop Betting FAQ

What are NFL player props?

NFL player props are bets on individual player performances rather than the outcome of the game. Common examples include passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, receptions, touchdowns and completions.

How do you choose the best NFL player props?

The best NFL player props are typically identified by comparing a player's expected workload and statistical production with the sportsbook's posted line. Matchup, injuries, game script and recent usage can all play a role in finding value.

Where can I bet on NFL player props?

You can bet on NFL player props at FanDuel Sportsbook, where a wide variety of markets are available for each game.

What are the most common NFL player props?

Some of the most popular NFL player props include passing yards, passing touchdowns, rushing yards, receiving yards, receptions and anytime touchdown scorer bets.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.