Tunisia have conceded 4.5 goals per game. Netherlands have scored 3.5 per game. Netherlands need a big GD swing to match Japan. The result is a board where the top four players are -120/-115/-110/-110 — exceptional short prices for anytime markets against eliminated opposition.

Key fitness checks: ⚠️ Summerville (head) — doubtful. ⚠️ Depay — questionable to start. ⚠️ Brobbey — SportsBettingDime flags possible doubt. Check FD for live confirmations before locking in picks. Gakpo is the safest confirmed scorer with the clearest fitness picture.

FOX Sports primary. Racing Post: "Gakpo scored twice in the 5-1 rout of Sweden and is the Netherlands' most in-form attacker." WhoScored: "Against a Tunisia backline giving up 4.5 goals per game, that 43% implied probability looks conservative." 13 shots / 9 on target across his last 4 internationals. Liverpool LW who cuts inside onto his right foot — Tunisia's left side has been consistently exploited. $10→$18.70.

G. Til +125 ($10→$22.50): Feyenoord midfielder who arrives in the box late. Bench at +125 — on a 4-0 scoreline he's a live 30-minute dart. FGS +500.

⚠️ Summerville +155 ($10→$25.50): West Ham winger with 2 WC goals. SportsBettingDime's value pick if fit. But he is doubtful (head injury) — only back if FD confirms he's starting. If fit, +155 is exceptional value. FGS +600.

Kluivert +170 ($10→$27): Bench dart only. $5 max. FGS +650.