NASCAR Xfinity Series Best Bets: Explore the Pocono Mountains 225
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For the most part, my model's sims for Saturday's Explore the Pocono Mountains 225 are in line with the market.
The top three drivers in my sims are all within three percentage points of the market, and I'm above market on only two drivers, relative to FanDuel Sportsbook's NASCAR Xfinity Series betting odds.
I just happen to be well above on both.
Here's the full run of sims prior to practice and qualifying.
Driver | Win | Podium | Top 5 |
---|---|---|---|
William Byron | 21.3% | 47.0% | 61.5% |
Cole Custer | 12.5% | 33.7% | 50.6% |
Chandler Smith | 10.5% | 30.2% | 46.1% |
Justin Allgaier | 8.7% | 26.4% | 41.7% |
A.J. Allmendinger | 7.7% | 21.4% | 35.8% |
Sam Mayer | 7.5% | 22.6% | 36.6% |
Brandon Jones | 5.7% | 18.6% | 31.0% |
Pocono Xfinity Series Best Bets
- AJ Allmendinger (+2800): Allmendinger has finished top-seven in all four races at high-ish-speed tracks, including a fourth-place average running position recently in Nashville. That's why he's 7.7% for me, up from 3.4% implied.
- Brandon Jones (+3500): Jones had really impressive speed in Charlotte, twice picking his way through traffic to finish runner-up. He had a fifth-place average running position last year in Pocono. I've got him at 5.7% to win, up from 2.8% implied.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.