START YOUR OWN WINNING STREAK
Player Image
SportsBookLogo
Chevrons Texture
NCAAB

Most Likely Upsets for Friday's First Round Men’s College Basketball Tournament Games

Subscribe to our newsletter

Most Likely Upsets for Friday's First Round Men’s College Basketball Tournament Games

The first day of the men's college basketball tournament had plenty of upset scares, and it all kicked off with a 9-over-8 upset by the seeding.

Which teams should be on upset alert on Friday?

To figure that out, we're going to use betting odds to see which higher seeds might be in danger of the good old-fashioned upset in March.

FanDuel Sportsbook is also offering a promo for customers betting on an underdog in the tournament!

How to Claim This FanDuel Promo

All customers get a Dog of the Day Jackpot token every day for a moneyline wager on a college basketball games during the first two rounds of the tournament,. If your team is the LOWEST seed to win that day, you share $1 MILLION in Bonus Bets with everyone else who used their token on that team. See full terms and conditions on the promotions page.

Today’s Most Likely Men’s College Basketball Tournament Upsets

What's an upset? For these purposes, it's whenever the lower-seeded team beats the higher-seeded team (e.g. a 10 seed over a 7 seed).

Here's a look at all 16 underdogs (by seed) as well as their moneyline odds (per the college basketball betting odds via FanDuel Sportsbook). The "Implied Win Odds" simply translates that moneyline into how likely the sportsbook says they are to win that game.

Seed
Team
Opponent
Moneyline
Implied Win Odds
12Colorado StateMemphis-12856.1%
11North CarolinaOle Miss-12054.5%
9BaylorMississippi State-10250.5%
11XavierIllinois+12843.9%
10VanderbiltSaint Mary's+15040.0%
10New MexicoMarquette+15040.0%
9OklahomaUConn+17636.2%

A pair of double-digit seeds are favored in their first-round matchups.

First, we've got the 12 seed Colorado State Rams taking on an overrated Memphis Tigers team, the 5 seed in the West region.

Via BartTorvik, the Rams have a better adjusted offense (39th versus 86th) and are virtually performing the same as Memphis on defense (49th versus 47th).

Moneyline

Spread Betting

Total Points

Colorado State
@
Memphis
Mar 21 6:00pm UTCMore odds in Sportsbook

Also, North Carolina (the 11 seed in the South region) is favored over Ole Miss (the 6 seed).

UNC has an offensive edge based on the underlying data (18th versus 32nd), though the Rebels are better on defense (33rd versus 64th), according to Torvik's adjusted metrics.

Moneyline

Spread Betting

Total Points

North Carolina
@
Ole Miss
Mar 21 8:05pm UTCMore odds in Sportsbook

Which bets stand out to you for today's games? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's latest college basketball betting odds to see the full menu of options.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!


The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.


Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit RG-help.com.

Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT). Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).

21+ (18+ D.C.) and present in select states (for KS, in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino). Opt in req. Must apply profit boost token on select market. Prize pool to be split equally among all eligible participants who made the correct pick. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable bonus bets which expire 21 days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com.

Subscribe to our newsletter

Want more stories like this?

Sign up to our newsletter to receive the latest news.

Newsletter Signup
Newsletter Signup