MLB SGP Bets to Target: Wednesday 8/14/24

Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!

SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.

Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!

Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

Today's Best MLB SGP Bets

Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies

Marlins +1.5 (-134)
Edward Cabrera Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-113)
Jake Burger to Record 2+ Total Bases (-120)

Combined Odds: +349

The once dominant Philadelphia Phillies aren't looking so scary lately. Since the All-Star break, the Phillies have managed an ugly 7-16 record. They've dropped four straight coming into tonight, including last night's 5-0 loss to the Miami Marlins.

Miami, meanwhile, has quietly played .500 baseball since the All-Star break. They were 12-12 over that stretch, and three of those losses came by a single run.

That puts them in a strong spot to cover +1.5 runs tonight, especially considering the pitching matchup. The Phillies will start righty Tyler Phillips (4-1, 4.83 ERA) who's surrendered 12 runs across his last two starts. The Marlins are tied for 14th in wRC+ (107) against right-handed pitching since the All-Star break, positioning them well against the rookie.

Miami will start righty Edward Cabrera (2-3, 5.20 ERA). Cabrera's season-long numbers are ugly, but his 4.10 SIERA suggests he's pitched better than his ERA reflects. He's tossed 12 scoreless innings over his last two starts and has a monster 28.1% K% on the year.

The Phillies have the second-lowest wRC+ (77) since the break, so Cabrera is catching them at the right time. His recent success gives Miami a good shot at keeping things within a run tonight.

Edward Cabrera has been rolling of late, so I'm into the over on his strikeout prop tonight. His 28.1% K% speaks for itself, but the righty has also put up a stellar 12.7% swinging-strike rate.

He's struck out at least six batters in seven of 12 starts this season, including in three of his last four. The Phillies have struck out at a 22.3% clip against righties since the All-Star break, and that should help Cabrera to go over 5.5 strikeouts tonight.

If we're banking on the Marlins covering tonight, that'll likely come with another big night from the red-hot Jake Burger. Burger's batting .330 since the break and has crushed six homers in his last six games. He's notched 2+ total bases in all six of those and could stay hot against Tyler Philips.

Burger has a .347 wOBA against righties on the year, so this is the right split to target his total bases prop.

Oakland Athletics at New York Mets

Mets Over 4.5 Total Runs (-102)
Francisco Lindor to Record a Run (-180)
Pete Alonso to Record 2+ Total Bases (+105)

Combined Odds: +319

The Oakland Athletics visit the New York Mets tonight, and the home side is in a nice spot to pour on the offense.

Oakland will trot out righty Joey Estes (5-4, 4.70 ERA) for his 16th start of the year. His subpar ERA is backed up by shaky ERA indicators (4.35 xERA; 5.17 xFIP; 4.94 SIERA) and poor quality of contact metrics (9.4% barrel rate; 41.2% hard-hit rate). Estes has surrendered a 54.1% fly-ball rate but has only an 18.3% K%.

Once Estes departs, the A's bullpen isn't something we should shy away from. For the year, Oakland is 18th in reliever xFIP.

That bodes well for the Mets. While I typically look to target their bats against lefties, New York has been solid against righties since the All-Star break. They're 14th in wRC+ vs. RHP and are averaging 4.17 runs per game over that stretch.

Who better to help the Mets go over their team total than their leadoff hitter, Francisco Lindor?

The switch-hitter has been a run-scoring machine this season, ranking 13th with 77 runs in 119 games. He's pieced together a .339 wOBA against RHP, thanks largely to a 9.0% walk rate in that split.

Lindor has scored three times in his last six games despite the Mets totaling just 19 runs in that stretch. In a bounce-back spot for the whole team, I like Lindor to get back in the scoring column.

We can round out this SGP by targeting Pete Alonso to record at least two total bases.

The power-hitting righty hasn't racked up multiple total bases since his two-homer outburst at Coors last week, but this is the right matchup for him to get back on track.

With a .324 wOBA, .751 OPS, and 15.7% HR/FB rate against righties, Alonso could cash this leg with a single swing of the bat.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee

Over 9 Total Runs (-106)
Shohei Ohtani to Record 2+ Total Bases (-165)
Willy Adames to Record an RBI (+140)

Combined Odds: +398

Both the Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers are starting suspect arms tonight, so I'm expecting plenty of offense from both sides. They combined for nine runs despite Milwaukee only scoring twice last night, but a better matchup should lead to more scoring chances for the home side.

For the Dodgers, Walker Buehler is set to make his first start off the IL. He wasn't especially effective prior to missing time, compiling a 5.84 ERA and 4.33 SIERA across eight starts.

Brewers starter Frankie Montas hasn't been much better. He enters tonight's start with a 5.10 ERA and 4.69 SIERA over 21 starts. Montas has surrendered three runs in each of his first two starts with Milwaukee, so a change a scenery hasn't appeared to impact his lack of effectiveness.

The Dodgers and Brewers both rank in the top 10 in wRC+ vs. RHP since the All-Star break, and neither side has struggled to score over the last month. Since the break, the Dodgers are averaging 5.0 runs per game. The Brewers are averaging 4.91.

With a righty on the bump, this is a great spot to target Shohei Ohtani to record multiple total bases. The lefty hitter has feasted against that split this season, posting a .451 wOBA and 1.104 OPS.

Ohtani has homered in each of the first two games of this series and has recorded at least two total bases in three of his last six games. Opposing starter Frankie Montas has surrendered a .377 wOBA against left-handed hitters, so this is about as good of a matchup as you'll find for the National League MVP odds leader.

For the Brewers, I have my eye on Willy Adames to record an RBI.

Milwaukee's No. 5 hitter has been one of the best run producers in the league this season, tying for 11th with 80 RBI in 119 games.

He's feasted against righties all season, sporting a .360 wOBA and .227 ISO in that split.

With high-OBP bats like William Contreras (.347 OBP vs. RHP) ahead of him, Adames is in a great spot to drive in a run in a soft matchup.

All customers get a 30% Profit Boost to use on any LIVE wager on the MLB.TV Free Game of the Week: Chicago Cubs vs Cleveland Guardians on August 14th! See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today’s other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

Looking for more MLB betting opportunities? Check out all of the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.