MLB Predictions Today: 3 MLB Best Bets and Picks for Thursday, September 24, 2026

MLB Betting Picks in Summary
- Bryce Harper to Hit a Home Run (+500)
- Ranger Suárez Over 15.5 Outs Recorded (-132)
- Matt Olson 2+ Hits/Runs/RBI (-135)
Baseball has you covered if you want a large inventory of options to bet.
From moneylines to player props to NRFI wagers, we have plenty of ways each day to bet the long, arduous MLB schedule.
Using the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, what are the best MLB bets for today?
This article includes some of the top bets from our other MLB content. All MLB odds via FanDuel, and they may change after this article is published.
MLB Picks and Predictions for Today
Home Run Prediction: Bryce Harper (+500)
Brewers at Phillies, 6:06 p.m. ET
Bryce Harper offers an intriguing blend of individual power and matchup appeal against Milwaukee Brewers right-hander Bryse Wilson.
Harper has clubbed 28 home runs this season while producing a .268/.381/.486 slash line and an .866 OPS. While his home-run production has cooled a bit recently, the underlying profile still gives him plenty of upside, particularly at Citizens Bank Park against a right-handed pitcher.
Wilson enters Thursday with a 3.67 ERA, but he's made all 15 of his MLB appearances this season out of the bullpen. Across 34.1 innings, he's allowed 41 hits while striking out only 30 batters. He's given up three home runs, and the combination of a low strikeout rate and plenty of balls in play should give Harper opportunities to do damage if Wilson works around the zone.
With Wilson being asked to transition from relief work into a starting assignment and Harper holding the platoon advantage, this is a spot where Philadelphia's star first baseman has a path to his 29th homer of the season.
Ranger Suárez Over 15.5 Outs Recorded (-132)
Guardians vs. Red Sox, 6:46 p.m. ET
Ranger Suarez Outs Recorded
Ranger Suarez has settled into a nice groove entering Thursday's home matchup with the Cleveland Guardians, and I like him to work through at least 5.1 innings.
Suárez owns a 3.27 ERA, 3.11 FIP, and 1.20 WHIP across 143.1 innings this season, and he's been especially sharp lately. The lefty has completed at least 5.1 innings in each of his last four starts, including back-to-back seven-inning outings earlier this month. Over his three September starts, Suárez has pitched 19.2 innings while allowing only two earned runs.
Cleveland isn't an ideal strikeout matchup, but that's less important for an outs prop. It actually may help us if Cleveland’s bat-to-ball ability results in some quick outs. Suárez has been efficient enough to pitch deep when he's keeping traffic off the bases, and he's allowed only 13 hits across his last 19.2 frames. Even in his most recent start, when he issued five walks, he still recorded 17 outs against Tampa Bay.
With Suárez throwing well and routinely getting into the sixth inning lately, over 15.5 outs looks attainable.
Matt Olson to Record 2+ Hits/Runs/RBI (-135)
Reds vs. Braves, 7:16 p.m. ET
Matt Olson gets one of the more favorable individual matchups on Thursday's slate against Cincinnati Reds right-hander Brady Singer.
Olson enters the day hitting .254 with a .325 on-base percentage and .511 slugging percentage. He's been productive lately, too, recording multiple hits in three of his last five games. That includes a 2-for-4 night Wednesday in which he doubled, homered, scored a run, and drove in a run, giving him multiple ways to cash this H/R/RBI combo market.
Singer is the biggest reason to like the matchup. He carries a 5.67 ERA into today's start, and left-handed hitters have given him serious trouble. Singer has surrendered a .394 wOBA and 2.13 jacks per nine innings to lefties this season, so the overall matchup sets up perfectly for the left-handed Olson.
Since Olson can get to two combined hits, runs, and RBI without needing an extra-base hit, this market gives us several paths to a win in a very favorable matchup. The cherry on top is that Cincy’s bullpen has the third-worst expected ERA over the past 30 days (4.57).
MLB Betting Frequently Asked Questions
What are MLB player prop bets?
MLB player prop bets are wagers on specific statistical outcomes tied to individual players during a game — not on which team wins or loses. You might bet on how many strikeouts a starting pitcher records, whether a shortstop gets a hit, or how many total bases an outfielder accumulates.
Because they are isolated to a single player's performance, props let you apply focused knowledge about matchups, recent form, and ballpark conditions rather than predicting the full game result.
What types of MLB player props are available?
FanDuel offers a wide menu of MLB props. The most common categories include:
- Pitcher strikeouts
- Batter hits
- Home runs
- Total bases
- RBIs
- Stolen bases
- Pitcher outs recorded
What does +310 mean on an MLB home run prop bet?
A +310 line means a $100 bet returns $310 in profit if the player homers. You can bet any amount — a $10 bet at +310 returns $31 in profit. The number reflects the implied probability the sportsbook assigns to the event (roughly 24% for +310 odds).
What does "total bases" mean as a prop bet?
The total bases prop counts the bases a batter earns from hits in a single game:
- Single = 1 base
- Double = 2 bases
- Triple = 3 bases
- Home run = 4 bases
Walks, hit-by-pitches, and stolen bases do not count. A typical total bases line is set at 1.5 or 2.5. Betting over 1.5 means you need at least a double, or two singles.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.



