MLB Betting: 3 Best Player Prop Bets for Thursday 8/8/24

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Utilizing our MLB projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, here are some MLB player props bets that look appealing via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note that betting lines and projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

Best MLB Player Props Today

Hunter Greene Over 18.5 Outs Recorded (+116)

Hunter Greene has been one of the hottest pitchers across baseball with a jaw-dropping 0.27 ERA over his last five appearances. He hasn't allowed a run in three consecutive starts and in four of his past five.

The Cincinnati Reds' ace has even seen his National League Cy Young odds drop to +1600. It'd be a near-miracle for Greene to truly contend for the award, but if this level of production keeps up, who knows?

Greene has a great chance of staying as hot as fish grease with a matchup against the Miami Marlins, who have the second-fewest runs scored and second-lowest wOBA. Miami has also reached double-digit strikeouts in three of their last four, and Greene holds a K prop of 7.5 while ranking in the 85th percentile of strikeout percentage (K%).

Targeting Greene's recorded outs could yield the most success as over 18.5 has plus odds. He's completed the seventh inning in three of his past five outings.

Getting ground balls has been one of Greene's few weaknesses as he is in the bottom 18% of the category, per Savant. The Marlins have the highest ground-ball percentage in baseball. Greene is also in the bottom 30% in walk percentage (BB%) while Miami has the lowest BB% in MLB.

The Marlins make up for some of Greene's worries and are a superb matchup overall. Expect Cincinnati's star pitcher to fry some fish tonight and go over 18.5 outs.

Kyle Schwarber to Record an RBI (+140)

Kyle Schwarber erupted last night with three dingers and seven RBIs and is looking to keep his hot streak alive against the Arizona Diamondbacks. He's already produced 10 ribbies in August (1.7 per game), although that's obviously skewed by last night's seven-RBI effort.

The Philadelphia Phillies' designated hitter gets to face a vulnerable pitcher in Jordan Montgomery. The lefty holds a 7.02 ERA over his last eight contests. Montgomery is also in the bottom 26% in hard-hit percentage while Schwarber is in the 98th percentile of hard-hit percentage and 99th percentile of bat speed.

The cherry on top? Montgomery is a lefty, and Schwarber sees his stats skyrocket when he faces southpaws. He carries a slash line of .213/.250/.463 against right-handed hurlers versus .340/.458/.571 versus lefties.

FanDuel Research's projections have Schwarber with the highest RBI total of the day at 0.93. That would amount to a 60.5% implied probability for Schwarber to record an RBI. Compare that to the +150 line -- a 40.0% implied probability.

Additionally, he boasts the third-highest home run projection of the day (0.33) paired with +330 odds to hit a home run. Look for Schwarber's power to knock in another run tonight.

Lourdes Gurriel to Hit a Single (-150)

Sticking with the Phillies-Diamondbacks game, Arizona also faces an underwhelming starter in Kolby Allard, who holds a 4.65 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA) while starting in only 4 of his last 16 appearances dating back to 2022.

Lourdes Gurriel is one of the D-backs who sees his stats spike when facing lefties. His slash line is an impressive .323/.353/.500 against southpaws.

Allard's pitch usage is far from ideal in this matchup, with Gurriel hitting .257 against four-seam fastballs and a blistering .385 versus cutters -- two of Allard's three most-used pitches.

For Gurriel's projections, per our numbers, hitting a single carries the highest likelihood at 0.92 compared to 0.25 for a double, 0.04 for a triple, and 0.19 for a dinger. His forecasted single output comes with an implied probability of 60.1% for hitting one single; that's right on par with Gurriel's -150 odds with a 60.0% implied probability for recording a one-base knock.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.