MLB Betting: 3 Best Player Prop Bets for Friday 8/9/24
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Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.
Utilizing our MLB projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, here are some MLB player props bets that look appealing via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Please note that betting lines and projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.
Best MLB Player Props Today
Bobby Witt Jr. To Record An RBI (+115)
Bobby Witt Jr. sports a .350 BA, .266 ISO, .616 SLG, 177 wRC+, and 45.2% fly-ball rate versus right-handed pitchers.
At his home Kauffman Field, he's been unreal with a .409 BA, .736 SLG, .328 ISO, and 219 wRC+.
So, with Witt taking on a righty at home tonight, he's the main player I want to target in the batter props market.
He'll get a go at Miles Mikolas of the St. Louis Cardinals. Mikolas' 5.12 ERA is made better with a 4.47 xERA and 4.46 SIERA. However, he does give up a .470 SLG, 35.1% fly-ball rate, and 1.34 home runs per nine innings to right-handed hitters.
Witt has recorded 84 RBIs (fourth-most in MLB) through 114 games. He's in an awesome spot to knock in another tonight, so I'm happy to side with these +115 odds. Given the all-around matchup, I'd consider backing Witt to hit a home run at ultra-friendly +470 odds.
Marcell Ozuna To Record An RBI (-110)
Across the last 30 days of play, Marcell Ozuna has been generating an 18.2% barrel rate, 57.6% hard-hit rate, and .341 ISO.
He's been swinging a hot bat and is playing at Coors Field tonight. Perfect.
Tanner Gordon will be on the mound for the opposing Colorado Rockies. Gordon has let up 15 ER and 6 home runs through 21 1/3 frames this season. His one and only game at Coors was met with 5 ER and 2 home runs.
The righty is in a scary spot against Ozuna, who manages a .299 ISO, 40.3% fly-ball rate, and 42.4% hard-hit rate against northpaws. Gordon, meanwhile, has allowed a whopping 5 home runs in just 9 1/3 innings against righties.
Batting third, Ozuna is typically in a good spot to knock in a run. He's managed 88 ribbies (third-most in MLB) this season. FanDuel Research's MLB projections love Ozuna's outlook for tonight. They expect him to record 1.33 RBIs in this one.
Jose Berrios Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+112)
Jose Berrios has been streaky with the punchouts this season, but tonight's contest against the Oakland Athletics could bring out the best in him.
The A's are striking out at a 25.4% rate against righties. Berrios has faced eight teams that strike out at a 23.8% rate or higher against righties. In this split, he fanned at least 5 batters in 8 out of 8 games and exceeded 5.5 strikeouts in 5 out of 8 contests.
The punchouts have always been there when Berrios takes on strikeout-prone offenses, so I love the +112 odds we are getting on the over.
Plus, Oakland is generating just a .228 BA (27th) and .300 wOBA (22nd) against righties. This could certainly help Berrios pitch longer into the game.
His 18.2% K% is quite lackluster and pales in comparison to 2023's 23.5% K%. But as laid out, he's been dominant against high-strikeout teams such as Oakland. It doesn't hurt that he's throwing this game at home. He lets up a massive 2.44 home runs per nine on the road but just 0.91 home runs per nine at home.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.