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Missouri vs Kentucky Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 8

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Missouri vs Kentucky Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 8

The Missouri Tigers (21-9, 10-7 SEC) will host the Kentucky Wildcats (20-10, 9-8 SEC) after winning three straight home games.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Missouri vs. Kentucky Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Saturday, March 8, 2025
  • Game time: 12 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN
  • Location: Columbia, Missouri
  • Arena: Mizzou Arena

Missouri vs. Kentucky Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Missouri win (71.1%)

Read the betting insights and trends below before making a bet on Saturday's Missouri-Kentucky spread (Missouri -6.5) or over/under (170.5 points).

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Missouri vs. Kentucky: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Missouri has won 17 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
  • Kentucky has compiled a 15-15-0 record against the spread this year.
  • Kentucky covers the spread when it is a 6.5-point underdog or more 66.7% of the time. That's more often than Missouri covers as a favorite of 6.5 or more (50%).
  • The Tigers have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 11 times in 18 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered five times in 10 opportunities in away games.
  • Against the spread, the Wildcats have been better at home (10-8-0) than away (3-6-0).
  • Against the spread, in conference action, Missouri is 12-5-0 this year.
  • Kentucky has nine wins against the spread in 17 SEC games this year.

Missouri vs. Kentucky: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Missouri has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 19 games this year and has walked away with the win 15 times (78.9%) in those games.
  • The Tigers have not lost in 10 games this year when favored by -240 or better on the moneyline.
  • Kentucky has compiled a 5-4 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 55.6% of those games).
  • The Wildcats have a 3-1 record (winning 75% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +195 or longer.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies Missouri has a 70.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Missouri vs. Kentucky Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Missouri's +360 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 12 points per game) is a result of scoring 84.6 points per game (seventh in college basketball) while giving up 72.6 per contest (202nd in college basketball).
  • Caleb Grill's 14.4 points per game lead Missouri and rank 325th in the country.
  • Kentucky is outscoring opponents by 8.8 points per game, with a +265 scoring differential overall. It puts up 85.6 points per game (third in college basketball) and allows 76.8 per outing (310th in college basketball).
  • Kentucky's leading scorer, Otega Oweh, ranks 186th in the nation, scoring 16 points per game.
  • The Tigers rank 233rd in college basketball at 31.1 rebounds per game. That's 1.5 more than the 29.6 their opponents average.
  • Josh Gray is 570th in college basketball action with 5.1 rebounds per game to lead the Tigers.
  • The Wildcats prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 3.2 boards. They are collecting 34.8 rebounds per game (46th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 31.6.
  • Amari Williams paces the team with 8.7 rebounds per game (41st in college basketball).
  • Missouri's 107.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank eighth in college basketball, and the 92.2 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 152nd in college basketball.
  • The Wildcats' 106.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 11th in college basketball, and the 95.1 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 228th in college basketball.

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