Mississippi State vs LSU Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 1

SEC play on Saturday will see the the No. 24 Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-9, 7-8 SEC) host the LSU Tigers (14-14, 3-12 SEC) at Humphrey Coliseum, starting at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Mississippi State vs. LSU Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Game time: 3:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Location: Starkville, Mississippi
• Arena: Humphrey Coliseum

Mississippi State vs. LSU Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mississippi State win (84.8%)

Before you wager on Saturday's Mississippi State-LSU spread (Mississippi State -11.5) or total (148.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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Mississippi State vs. LSU: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Mississippi State has covered 12 times in 28 chances against the spread this season.
• LSU is 14-14-0 ATS this season.
• Mississippi State (3-3) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 11.5 points or more this season (50%) than LSU (2-1) does as an 11.5+-point underdog (66.7%).
• The Bulldogs have done a better job covering the spread in road games (5-5-0) than they have in home games (5-8-0).
• The Tigers' winning percentage against the spread at home is .529 (9-8-0). On the road, it is .500 (4-4-0).
• Mississippi State has five wins against the spread in 15 conference games this season.
• Against the spread in SEC games, LSU is 7-8-0 this year.

Mississippi State vs. LSU: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Mississippi State has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 22 games this year and has walked away with the win 16 times (72.7%) in those games.
• The Bulldogs have not lost in five games this year when favored by -800 or better on the moneyline.
• LSU has gone 4-14 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 22.2% of those games).
• The Tigers have played as a moneyline underdog of +540 or longer in only two games this season, which they lost both.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Mississippi State has a 88.9% chance of pulling out a win.

Mississippi State vs. LSU Head-to-Head Comparison

• Mississippi State's +162 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.7 points per game) is a result of scoring 79 points per game (60th in college basketball) while giving up 73.3 per outing (221st in college basketball).
• Josh Hubbard paces Mississippi State, scoring 17.9 points per game (70th in college basketball).
• LSU's +94 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 75.6 points per game (132nd in college basketball) while allowing 72.2 per contest (194th in college basketball).
• Camryn Carter paces LSU, averaging 16.7 points per game (131st in college basketball).
• The Bulldogs average 35.9 rebounds per game (24th in college basketball) while conceding 32.4 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 3.5 boards per game.
• KeShawn Murphy tops the Bulldogs with 7.6 rebounds per game (96th in college basketball play).
• The Tigers are 115th in college basketball at 33.1 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 33.9 their opponents average.
• Corey Chest's 6.6 rebounds per game lead the Tigers and rank 217th in the country.
• Mississippi State's 98.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 100th in college basketball, and the 91.6 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 142nd in college basketball.
• The Tigers score 93.9 points per 100 possessions (234th in college basketball), while allowing 89.7 points per 100 possessions (95th in college basketball).

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