Michigan vs UCSD Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

The No. 5 seed Michigan Wolverines (25-9) and the No. 12 seed UCSD Tritons (30-4) will meet in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday at 10 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on TBS.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan vs. UCSD Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 20, 2025
• Game time: 10 p.m. ET
• TV channel: TBS
• Location: Denver, Colorado
• Arena: Ball Arena

Michigan vs. UCSD Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UCSD win (58.5%)

Here's a look at some betting trends and insights for Michigan (-2.5) versus UCSD on Thursday. The over/under is set at 144.5 points for this game.

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Michigan vs. UCSD: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan has compiled a 15-18-0 record against the spread this season.
• UCSD has won 25 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover seven times.
• When the spread is set as 2.5 or more this season, Michigan (8-15) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (34.8%) than UCSD (3-0) does as the underdog (100%).
• Against the spread, the Wolverines have fared worse when playing at home, covering five times in 15 home games, and five times in 10 road games.
• The Tritons have been better against the spread away (11-3-0) than at home (9-4-0) this season.

Michigan vs. UCSD: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan has won in 18, or 72%, of the 25 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Wolverines have a mark of 17-5 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -134 or better on the moneyline.
• UCSD has gone 6-1 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 85.7% of those games).
• In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +112 or longer, the Tritons have a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of their games).
• Michigan has an implied victory probability of 57.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Michigan vs. UCSD Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan has a +239 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.1 points per game. It is putting up 78.3 points per game to rank 72nd in college basketball and is allowing 71.2 per contest to rank 153rd in college basketball.
• Vladislav Goldin paces Michigan, scoring 16.7 points per game (136th in college basketball).
• UCSD outscores opponents by 18.2 points per game (posting 79.8 points per game, 43rd in college basketball, and conceding 61.6 per outing, sixth in college basketball) and has a +617 scoring differential.
• Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones' team-leading 19.5 points per game rank him 27th in the nation.
• The Wolverines win the rebound battle by 5.4 boards on average. They collect 34.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 36th in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 29.5 per contest.
• Danny Wolf is 12th in college basketball action with 9.8 rebounds per game to lead the Wolverines.
• The 30.4 rebounds per game the Tritons accumulate rank 279th in college basketball. Their opponents grab 30.2.
• Tait-Jones paces the team with 5.5 rebounds per game (447th in college basketball).
• Michigan averages 97.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (132nd in college basketball), and gives up 88.6 points per 100 possessions (62nd in college basketball).
• The Tritons average 106.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (seventh in college basketball), and allow 82.6 points per 100 possessions (sixth in college basketball).

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