Michigan vs UCSD Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

The No. 5 seed Michigan Wolverines (25-9) and the No. 12 seed UCSD Tritons (30-4) will meet in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday at 10 p.m. ET. The contest airs on TBS.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan vs. UCSD Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 20, 2025
• Game time: 10 p.m. ET
• TV channel: TBS
• Location: Denver, Colorado
• Arena: Ball Arena

Michigan vs. UCSD Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UCSD win (56.7%)

Before making a bet on Thursday's Michigan-UCSD spread (Michigan -2.5) or over/under (143.5 points), take a look at the betting insights and trends below.

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Michigan vs. UCSD: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan has compiled a 15-18-0 ATS record so far this year.
• UCSD is 25-7-0 ATS this year.
• Michigan (8-15) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (34.8%) than UCSD (3-0) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (100%).
• The Wolverines have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered five times in 15 games when playing at home, and they've covered five times in 10 games on the road.
• Against the spread, the Tritons have had better results on the road (11-3-0) than at home (9-4-0).

Michigan vs. UCSD: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan has come away with 18 wins in the 25 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• This season, the Wolverines have come away with a win 17 times in 22 chances when named as a favorite of at least -134 or better on the moneyline.
• UCSD has won six of the seven games it was the moneyline underdog this season (85.7%).
• The Tritons have a record of 2-1 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +112 or longer (66.7%).
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Michigan has a 57.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Michigan vs. UCSD Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan outscores opponents by 7.1 points per game (scoring 78.3 per game to rank 72nd in college basketball while giving up 71.2 per outing to rank 153rd in college basketball) and has a +239 scoring differential overall.
• Vladislav Goldin's 16.7 points per game lead Michigan and rank 136th in college basketball.
• UCSD's +617 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 18.2 points per game) is a result of putting up 79.8 points per game (42nd in college basketball) while allowing 61.6 per outing (sixth in college basketball).
• UCSD's leading scorer, Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones, ranks 27th in the country, averaging 19.5 points per game.
• The Wolverines are 36th in the nation at 34.9 rebounds per game. That's 5.4 more than the 29.5 their opponents average.
• Danny Wolf averages 9.8 rebounds per game (ranking 12th in college basketball) to lead the Wolverines.
• The Tritons average 30.4 rebounds per game (279th in college basketball), compared to the 30.2 of their opponents.
• Tait-Jones is 447th in the nation with 5.5 rebounds per game, leading the Tritons.
• Michigan averages 97.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (132nd in college basketball), and gives up 88.6 points per 100 possessions (63rd in college basketball).
• The Tritons average 106.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (seventh in college basketball), and allow 82.6 points per 100 possessions (sixth in college basketball).

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