Michigan vs Illinois Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 2

Big Ten action features the No. 15 Michigan Wolverines (22-6, 14-3 Big Ten) at home against the Illinois Fighting Illini (18-11, 10-8 Big Ten) on Sunday, March 2, 2025 at 3:45 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan vs. Illinois Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, March 2, 2025
• Game time: 3:45 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: Ann Arbor, Michigan
• Arena: Crisler Center

Michigan vs. Illinois Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan win (67%)

Before you bet on Sunday's Michigan-Illinois spread (Michigan -3.5) or over/under (161.5 points), read the betting trends and insights below.

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Michigan vs. Illinois: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan has covered 12 times in 27 matchups with a spread this season.
• Illinois has put together a 14-15-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Michigan (7-11) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 3.5 points or more this season (38.9%) than Illinois (1-3) does as a 3.5+-point underdog (25%).
• Against the spread, the Wolverines have performed worse at home, covering five times in 13 home games, and five times in nine road games.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Fighting Illini have a better winning percentage at home (.562, 9-7-0 record) than away (.444, 4-5-0).
• Michigan's record against the spread in conference games is 5-11-0.
• Illinois has eight wins against the spread in 18 Big Ten games this year.

Michigan vs. Illinois: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 23 games this year and has walked away with the win 18 times (78.3%) in those games.
• This year, the Wolverines have won 14 of 17 games when listed as at least -160 or better on the moneyline.
• Illinois has a 1-5 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 16.7% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +132 or longer, the Fighting Illini have a 1-3 record (winning just 25% of their games).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Michigan has a 61.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Michigan vs. Illinois Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan is outscoring opponents by 9.2 points per game with a +257 scoring differential overall. It puts up 79.8 points per game (48th in college basketball) and allows 70.6 per outing (137th in college basketball).
• Vladislav Goldin ranks 188th in college basketball with a team-high 15.9 points per game.
• Illinois puts up 83.2 points per game (15th in college basketball) while allowing 73.3 per outing (223rd in college basketball). It has a +287 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 9.9 points per game.
• Kasparas Jakucionis' 15.3 points per game leads Illinois and ranks 239th in college basketball.
• The 35 rebounds per game the Wolverines average rank 45th in the country, and are 6.1 more than the 28.9 their opponents grab per outing.
• Danny Wolf leads the Wolverines with 9.8 rebounds per game (12th in college basketball play).
• The 40.1 rebounds per game the Fighting Illini accumulate rank first in the nation, 9.4 more than the 30.7 their opponents grab.
• Tomislav Ivisic tops the Fighting Illini with 7.9 rebounds per game (68th in college basketball).
• Michigan averages 99.1 points per 100 possessions (98th in college basketball), while allowing 87.7 points per 100 possessions (48th in college basketball).
• The Fighting Illini rank 71st in college basketball with 100.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 61st defensively with 88.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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