Michigan State vs Oregon Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big Ten Tournament

The top-seeded Michigan State Spartans (26-5, 17-3 Big Ten) are squaring off against the No. 8 seed Oregon Ducks (24-8, 12-8 Big Ten) in the Big Ten tournament on Friday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, at 12 p.m. ET airing on Big Ten Network.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. Oregon Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 14, 2025
• Game time: 12 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Big Ten Network
• Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
• Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Michigan State vs. Oregon Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan State win (64%)

Here's a look at some betting insights for Michigan State (-6.5) versus Oregon on Friday. The over/under is set at 142.5 points for this game.

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Michigan State vs. Oregon: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State is 21-10-0 ATS this season.
• Oregon has put together a 16-16-0 record against the spread this season.
• Michigan State covers the spread when it is a 6.5-point favorite or more 70.6% of the time. That's less often than Oregon covers as an underdog of 6.5 or more (75%).
• In home games, the Spartans have a worse record against the spread (10-6-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (7-2-0).
• The Ducks have been better against the spread on the road (5-6-0) than at home (6-10-0) this year.
• Michigan State is 15-5-0 against the spread in conference action this season.
• Oregon's Big Ten record against the spread is 9-12-0.

Michigan State vs. Oregon: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has won in 21, or 87.5%, of the 24 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Spartans have a mark of 16-1 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -275 or better on the moneyline.
• Oregon has won four of the seven games it was the moneyline underdog this season (57.1%).
• The Ducks have a 2-2 record (winning 50% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +220 or longer.
• Michigan State has an implied victory probability of 73.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Michigan State vs. Oregon Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan State's +353 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 11.4 points per game) is a result of scoring 78.4 points per game (71st in college basketball) while giving up 67 per contest (44th in college basketball).
• Jaden Akins' 12.9 points per game lead Michigan State and rank 541st in college basketball.
• Oregon's +184 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.8 points per game) is a result of putting up 76.6 points per game (102nd in college basketball) while giving up 70.8 per outing (144th in college basketball).
• Nathan Bittle's team-leading 13.9 points per game rank him 389th in the country.
• The Spartans win the rebound battle by an average of nine boards. They are recording 36.9 rebounds per game (eighth in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 27.9 per contest.
• Jaxon Kohler leads the Spartans with 7.8 rebounds per game (76th in college basketball play).
• The Ducks record 31.7 rebounds per game (188th in college basketball) while allowing 30.6 per outing to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.1 boards per game.
• Bittle is 129th in the nation with 7.3 rebounds per game, leading the Ducks.
• Michigan State averages 100.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (73rd in college basketball), and gives up 86 points per 100 possessions (22nd in college basketball).
• The Ducks' 98.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 103rd in college basketball, and the 91.1 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 120th in college basketball.

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