Alabama vs Kentucky Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SEC Tournament

The No. 3 seed Alabama Crimson Tide (24-7, 13-5 SEC) will play in the SEC tournament against the No. 6 seed Kentucky Wildcats (22-10, 10-8 SEC), Friday at 9:30 p.m. ET live on SEC Network.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Alabama vs. Kentucky Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Friday, March 14, 2025
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: SEC Network
- Location: Nashville, Tennessee
- Arena: Bridgestone Arena
Alabama vs. Kentucky Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Alabama win (64.7%)
Before you wager on Friday's Alabama-Kentucky spread (Alabama -7.5) or over/under (179.5 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.
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Alabama vs. Kentucky: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Alabama has compiled an 18-13-0 record against the spread this season.
- Kentucky is 16-16-0 ATS this year.
- Alabama (10-7) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 7.5 points or more this season (58.8%) than Kentucky (1-1) does as a 7.5+-point underdog (50%).
- Against the spread, the Crimson Tide have played worse at home, covering eight times in 15 home games, and eight times in 12 road games.
- The Wildcats' winning percentage against the spread at home is .556 (10-8-0). Away, it is .400 (4-6-0).
- Against the spread, in conference games, Alabama is 12-6-0 this season.
- Kentucky's SEC record against the spread is 10-9-0.
Alabama vs. Kentucky: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Alabama has come away with 19 wins in the 24 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
- This season, the Crimson Tide have been victorious 16 times in 17 chances when named as a favorite of at least -315 or better on the moneyline.
- Kentucky has won 60% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (6-4).
- The Wildcats have played as a moneyline underdog of +250 or longer in just two games this season, which they split 1-1.
- Alabama has an implied victory probability of 75.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Alabama vs. Kentucky Head-to-Head Comparison
- Alabama is outscoring opponents by 10.1 points per game with a +313 scoring differential overall. It puts up 91.2 points per game (first in college basketball) and gives up 81.1 per outing (355th in college basketball).
- Mark Sears paces Alabama, averaging 19.2 points per game (36th in the nation).
- Kentucky is outscoring opponents by 8.6 points per game, with a +274 scoring differential overall. It puts up 85.8 points per game (third in college basketball) and allows 77.2 per contest (315th in college basketball).
- Otega Oweh is 155th in the nation with a team-leading 16.5 points per game.
- The Crimson Tide rank second in the country at 39.5 rebounds per game. That's 6.7 more than the 32.8 their opponents average.
- Grant Nelson's 7.9 rebounds per game lead the Crimson Tide and rank 68th in college basketball play.
- The Wildcats win the rebound battle by 3.1 boards on average. They collect 34.6 rebounds per game, 51st in college basketball, while their opponents grab 31.5.
- Amari Williams tops the Wildcats with 8.5 rebounds per game (45th in college basketball).
- Alabama averages 104.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (20th in college basketball), and gives up 93.1 points per 100 possessions (169th in college basketball).
- The Wildcats put up 106.4 points per 100 possessions (11th in college basketball), while conceding 95.7 points per 100 possessions (246th in college basketball).
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