Michigan State vs Northwestern Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for January 12

The Michigan State Spartans (13-2, 4-0 Big Ten) will try to build on a three-game road win streak when they square off against the Northwestern Wildcats (10-5, 1-3 Big Ten) on January 12, 2025 at Welsh-Ryan Arena.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. Northwestern Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, January 12, 2025
• Game time: 12:00 PM ET
• TV channel: FOX
• Location: Evanston, Illinois
• Arena: Welsh-Ryan Arena

Michigan State vs. Northwestern Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan State win (58.1%)

If you plan to place a wager on Michigan State-Northwestern outing (in which Michigan State is a 2.5-point favorite and the total has been set at 137.5 points), keep reading for some betting insights and trends for Sunday's game.

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Michigan State vs. Northwestern: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State is 10-5-0 ATS this season.
• Northwestern has compiled a 9-6-0 record against the spread this season.
• As a 2.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Michigan State is 8-4 against the spread compared to the 3-2 ATS record Northwestern racks up as a 2.5-point underdog.
• The Spartans did a better job covering the spread at home (11-7-0) last season than they did in road games (4-6-0).
• This season, the Wildcats are 5-3-0 at home against the spread (.625 winning percentage). Away, they are 2-2-0 ATS (.500).
• Michigan State is 4-0-0 against the spread in conference play this season.
• Northwestern's Big Ten record against the spread is 3-1-0.

Michigan State vs. Northwestern: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 12 games this year and has walked away with the win 11 times (91.7%) in those games.
• This season, the Spartans have been victorious 11 times in 12 chances when named as a favorite of at least -134 or better on the moneyline.
• Northwestern is 1-4 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 20% of those games).
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer, the Wildcats have a 1-4 record (winning only 20% of their games).
• Michigan State has an implied victory probability of 57.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Michigan State vs. Northwestern Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan State has a +235 scoring differential, topping opponents by 15.6 points per game. It is putting up 81.5 points per game to rank 51st in college basketball and is giving up 65.9 per outing to rank 45th in college basketball.
• Michigan State's leading scorer, Jaden, is 351st in the nation putting up 14.1 points per game.
• Northwestern puts up 74.1 points per game (212th in college basketball) while giving up 66.2 per contest (50th in college basketball). It has a +118 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 7.9 points per game.
• Nick Martinelli's 19.4 points per game paces Northwestern and ranks 22nd in college basketball.
• The 38.1 rebounds per game the Spartans average rank 10th in the nation, and are 10.8 more than the 27.3 their opponents record per outing.
• Jaxon Kohler is 52nd in college basketball action with 8.4 rebounds per game to lead the Spartans.
• The Wildcats are 266th in the country at 31.3 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 30.7 their opponents average.
• Brooks Barnhizer's 9.4 rebounds per game lead the Wildcats and rank 22nd in the nation.
• Michigan State ranks 55th in college basketball by averaging 102.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 26th in college basketball, allowing 82.8 points per 100 possessions.
• The Wildcats rank 141st in college basketball with 97.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 88th defensively with 87.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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