Michigan State vs Michigan Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 9

The Michigan State Spartans (25-5, 16-3 Big Ten) will try to build on a six-game win streak when they host the Michigan Wolverines (22-8, 14-5 Big Ten) on March 9, 2025 at Jack Breslin Students Events Center.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. Michigan Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, March 9, 2025
• Game time: 12 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: East Lansing, Michigan
• Arena: Jack Breslin Students Events Center

Michigan State vs. Michigan Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan State win (74.4%)

Before you bet on Sunday's Michigan State-Michigan spread (Michigan State -6.5) or total (147.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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Michigan State vs. Michigan: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State has won 20 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 10 times.
• Michigan has compiled a 12-17-0 ATS record so far this season.
• The Spartans have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered nine times in 15 games at home, and they've covered seven times in nine games when playing on the road.
• The Wolverines have performed better against the spread on the road (5-4-0) than at home (5-10-0) this season.
• Michigan State is 14-5-0 against the spread in conference play this year.
• Michigan has covered the spread five times in 18 Big Ten games.

Michigan State vs. Michigan: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has won in 20, or 87%, of the 23 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This year, the Spartans have won 14 of 15 games when listed as at least -285 or better on the moneyline.
• Michigan has been the moneyline underdog four total times this season. Michigan has finished 3-1 in those games.
• The Wolverines have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of +230 or longer.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Michigan State has a 74% chance of pulling out a win.

Michigan State vs. Michigan Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan State outscores opponents by 11.2 points per game (scoring 78.4 per game to rank 68th in college basketball while giving up 67.2 per contest to rank 48th in college basketball) and has a +336 scoring differential overall.
• Jaden Akins' 13 points per game lead Michigan State and rank 530th in the country.
• Michigan puts up 79.1 points per game (59th in college basketball) while allowing 71.4 per outing (160th in college basketball). It has a +231 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 7.7 points per game.
• Vladislav Goldin's 16.3 points per game leads Michigan and ranks 163rd in college basketball.
• The 36.9 rebounds per game the Spartans average rank eighth in the country, and are 8.9 more than the 28 their opponents collect per outing.
• Jaxon Kohler averages 7.8 rebounds per game (ranking 73rd in college basketball) to lead the Spartans.
• The Wolverines win the rebound battle by an average of 5.6 boards. They are recording 34.9 rebounds per game (44th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 29.3.
• Danny Wolf averages 9.6 rebounds per game (15th in college basketball) to lead the Wolverines.
• Michigan State averages 100.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (73rd in college basketball), and gives up 86.3 points per 100 possessions (25th in college basketball).
• The Wolverines rank 122nd in college basketball averaging 98.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 62nd, allowing 88.5 points per 100 possessions.

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