Mets vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 11

Odds updated as of 2:12 a.m.

Saturday's slate in the MLB includes a matchup between the New York Mets and the Boston Red Sox.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.

Mets vs Red Sox Game Info

• New York Mets (40-55) vs. Boston Red Sox (44-48)
• Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
• Coverage: Fox Sports 1, SNY, and NESN

Mets vs Red Sox Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYM: (-152) | BOS: (+128)
• Spread: NYM: -1.5 (+146) | BOS: +1.5 (-176)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Mets vs Red Sox Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Freddy Peralta (Mets) - 5-7, 4.68 ERA vs Eduardo Rivera (Red Sox) - 0-0, 0.00 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Mets will send Freddy Peralta (5-7) to the mound, while Eduardo Rivera will take the ball for the Red Sox. When Peralta starts, his team is 9-10-0 against the spread this season. Peralta's team is 7-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. Rivera's team was never the underdog on the moneyline a season ago in games he pitched.

Mets vs Red Sox Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mets win (55.5%)

Mets vs Red Sox Moneyline

• Boston is the underdog, +128 on the moneyline, while New York is a -152 favorite at home.

Mets vs Red Sox Spread

• The Mets are hosting the Red Sox and are favored by 1.5 runs (+146 to cover) on the runline. Boston is -176 to cover.

Mets vs Red Sox Over/Under

• Mets versus Red Sox on July 11 has an over/under of 8.5 runs, with the odds on the over -110 and the under set at -110.

Bet on New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox on FanDuel today!

Mets vs Red Sox Betting Trends

• The Mets have won in 30, or 52.6%, of the 57 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• New York has a record of 9-11 in contests when sportsbooks favor them by -152 or more on the moneyline.
• The Mets and their opponents have hit the over in 43 of their 92 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Mets have an against the spread record of 40-52-0 in 92 games with a line this season.
• The Red Sox have won 46.9% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (15-17).
• Boston has played as a moneyline underdog of +128 or longer in only two games this season, which it lost both.
• The Red Sox have had an over/under set by bookmakers 91 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 41 of those games (41-48-2).
• The Red Sox have put together a 42-49-0 record against the spread this season (covering 46.2% of the time).

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto has 80 hits and an OBP of .412, both of which lead New York hitters this season. He has a .297 batting average and a slugging percentage of .576.
• Among all qualified batters, he is 13th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks second, and he is third in slugging.
• Soto has hit safely in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .267 with three home runs, seven walks and eight RBIs.
• Carson Benge is hitting .269 with 12 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 28 walks, while slugging .410 with an on-base percentage of .331.
• His batting average ranks 51st among qualified players, his on-base percentage 76th, and his slugging percentage 93rd.
• Benge has picked up a hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .529 with a double, a home run, five walks and three RBIs.
• Bo Bichette leads New York in slugging percentage (.377) powered by 25 extra-base hits.
• A.J. Ewing has seven home runs, 24 RBI and a batting average of .282 this season.
• Ewing brings a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .409 with a double, two home runs, two walks and four RBIs.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Wilyer Abreu is hitting .266 with 20 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 38 walks. He's slugging .436 with an on-base percentage of .336.
• Including all qualifying players in the majors, he is 59th in batting average, 71st in on-base percentage and 67th in slugging percentage.
• Abreu takes a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBIs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela paces his team with a .437 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .283 with an on-base percentage of .331.
• He is currently 30th in batting average, 76th in on-base percentage and 66th in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters.
• Caleb Durbin is batting .225 with 18 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 20 walks.
• Jarren Duran has 10 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 27 walks while batting .196.

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