Mets vs Marlins Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Aug. 28

Odds updated as of 4:16 a.m.

The MLB schedule on Thursday includes the New York Mets facing the Miami Marlins.

Here's what you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Mets vs Marlins Game Info

• New York Mets (72-61) vs. Miami Marlins (62-71)
• Date: Thursday, August 28, 2025
• Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
• Coverage: MLB Network, SNY, and FDSFL

Mets vs Marlins Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYM: (-250) | MIA: (+205)
• Spread: NYM: -1.5 (-122) | MIA: +1.5 (+102)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (-100)

Mets vs Marlins Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Clay Holmes (Mets) - 11-6, 3.60 ERA vs Adam Mazur (Marlins) - 0-0, 0.00 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Mets will send Clay Holmes (11-6) to the mound, while Adam Mazur will get the nod for the Marlins. Holmes and his team have a record of 11-12-0 against the spread when he starts. Holmes' team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (12-6). Mazur's team was never the underdog on the moneyline a season ago in games he pitched.

Mets vs Marlins Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mets win (58.9%)

Mets vs Marlins Moneyline

• New York is a -250 favorite on the moneyline, while Miami is a +205 underdog on the road.

Mets vs Marlins Spread

• The Marlins are at the Mets, and are +1.5 on the runline. The Marlins are -122 to cover the spread, and the Mets are +102.

Mets vs Marlins Over/Under

• The over/under for the Mets versus Marlins contest on Aug. 28 has been set at 8.5, with -122 odds on the over and -100 odds on the under.

Bet on New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins on FanDuel today!

Mets vs Marlins Betting Trends

• The Mets have been victorious in 53, or 60.2%, of the 88 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• This year New York has won 12 of 13 games when listed as at least -250 on the moneyline.
• The Mets and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 57 of their 126 opportunities.
• The Mets are 61-65-0 against the spread in their 126 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Marlins have won 50 of the 107 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (46.7%).
• In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +205 or longer, Miami has a 4-6 record (winning 40% of its games).
• The Marlins have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 129 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 62 of those games (62-67-0).
• The Marlins have collected a 75-54-0 record ATS this season (covering 58.1% of the time).

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto leads New York with an OBP of .389 this season while batting .251 with 107 walks and 96 runs scored. He has a slugging percentage of .490.
• Among all qualifying batters in baseball, he is 95th in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage, and 25th in slugging.
• Soto will look for his fifth straight game with a hit in this contest. In his last five games he is batting .235 with seven walks and three RBIs.
• Francisco Lindor leads New York in slugging percentage (.456) thanks to 52 extra-base hits. He's batting .265 with an on-base percentage of .334.
• Among qualifying batters, his batting average ranks him 59th, his on-base percentage 68th, and his slugging percentage 55th.
• Lindor heads into this game looking to extend his two-game hit streak. During his last five outings he is batting .273 with two walks and an RBI.
• Pete Alonso has 134 hits and is batting .265 this season.
• Alonso has logged a hit or more in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .318 with a double, a home run, two walks and five RBIs.
• Brandon Nimmo has been key for New York with 121 hits, an OBP of .328 plus a slugging percentage of .435.
• Nimmo has safely hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .357 with a walk and three RBIs.

Marlins Player Leaders

• Xavier Edwards has accumulated a slugging percentage of .363, a team-best for the Marlins. He's batting .288 with an on-base percentage of .345.
• He ranks 17th in batting average, 50th in on-base percentage and 144th in slugging percentage among all qualified batters in the majors.
• Otto Lopez is hitting .237 with 17 doubles, 11 home runs and 41 walks. He's slugging .353 with an on-base percentage of .307.
• He is 122nd in batting average, 119th in on-base percentage and 146th in slugging percentage in MLB.
• Agustin Ramirez is batting .228 with 27 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 28 walks.
• Eric Wagaman is hitting .232 with 21 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 29 walks.

Mets vs Marlins Head to Head

• 4/9/2025: 5-0 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -205, Underdog Moneyline: +172)
• 4/8/2025: 10-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -290, Underdog Moneyline: +235)
• 4/7/2025: 2-0 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -275, Underdog Moneyline: +225)
• 4/2/2025: 6-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -210, Underdog Moneyline: +176)
• 4/1/2025: 4-2 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -152, Underdog Moneyline: +128)
• 3/31/2025: 10-4 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -180, Underdog Moneyline: +152)
• 8/18/2024: 3-2 MIA (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
• 8/17/2024: 4-0 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -196, Underdog Moneyline: +164)
• 8/16/2024: 7-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -255, Underdog Moneyline: +210)
• 7/22/2024: 6-4 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)

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