Mets vs Cubs Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 11

Odds updated as of 10:11 p.m.

In MLB action on Sunday, the New York Mets face the Chicago Cubs.

We've got you covered, in terms of the vital information regarding this matchup before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Mets vs Cubs Game Info

• New York Mets (25-14) vs. Chicago Cubs (22-17)
• Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
• Time: 12:05 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
• Coverage: Roku

Mets vs Cubs Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYM: (-126) | CHC: (+108)
• Spread: NYM: -1.5 (+155) | CHC: +1.5 (-188)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-100) | Under: (-122)

Mets vs Cubs Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Griffin Canning (Mets) - 5-1, 2.50 ERA vs Matthew Boyd (Cubs) - 3-2, 2.75 ERA

The Mets will give the nod to Griffin Canning (5-1, 2.50 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 6 on the season, and the Cubs will turn to Matthew Boyd (3-2, 2.75 ERA). Canning's team is 4-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Canning and his team have won each of the four games he's started as the moneyline favorite. When Boyd starts, the Cubs have gone 2-5-0 against the spread. The Cubs were named the moneyline underdog for two Boyd starts this season -- they lost both.

Mets vs Cubs Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mets win (51.4%)

Mets vs Cubs Moneyline

• New York is the favorite, -126 on the moneyline, while Chicago is a +108 underdog on the road.

Mets vs Cubs Spread

• The Mets are favored by 1.5 runs at home against the Cubs. The Mets are +155 to cover the spread, while the Cubs are -188.

Mets vs Cubs Over/Under

• A combined run total of 8.5 has been set for Mets-Cubs on May 11, with the over at -100 and the under at -122.

Bet on New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs on FanDuel today!

Mets vs Cubs Betting Trends

• The Mets have been chosen as favorites in 27 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (70.4%) in those games.
• This season New York has been victorious 17 times in 24 chances when named as a favorite of at least -126 on the moneyline.
• The Mets and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 15 of their 38 opportunities.
• The Mets are 20-18-0 against the spread in their 38 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Cubs are 8-9 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 47.1% of those games).
• Chicago is 3-6 (winning just 33.3% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +108 or longer.
• The Cubs have played in 37 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 24 times (24-12-1).
• The Cubs have gone 19-18-0 ATS this season.

Mets Player Leaders

• Pete Alonso leads New York in OBP (.443), slugging percentage (.627) and total hits (46) this season. He has a .324 batting average.
• Among all qualified hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks seventh, his on-base percentage ranks second, and he is third in slugging.
• Juan Soto is batting .268 with nine doubles, eight home runs and 30 walks. He's slugging .500 with an on-base percentage of .391.
• He ranks 54th in batting average, 15th in on-base percentage and 26th in slugging among qualifying hitters.
• Soto takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a double, three home runs, five walks and five RBIs.
• Francisco Lindor leads New York in slugging percentage (.497) powered by 15 extra-base hits.
• Lindor brings a two-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and six RBIs.
• Brandon Nimmo has seven home runs, 23 RBI and a batting average of .214 this season.
• Nimmo takes a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .111 with a double and three walks.

Cubs Player Leaders

• Kyle Tucker has put up an on-base percentage of .392, a slugging percentage of .559, and has 43 hits, all club-bests for the Cubs (while batting .283).
• Including all the qualified hitters in the majors, he is 36th in batting average, 13th in on-base percentage and eighth in slugging percentage.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong is hitting .267 with 11 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and eight walks. He's slugging .533 with an on-base percentage of .308.
• His batting average is 59th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage is 101st, and he is 16th in slugging.
• Ian Happ has a .381 slugging percentage, which paces the Cubs.
• Carson Kelly is batting .333 with two doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 18 walks.

Mets vs Cubs Head to Head

• 5/9/2025: 7-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 6/23/2024: 5-2 NYM (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 6/22/2024: 8-1 CHC (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 11.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 6/21/2024: 11-1 NYM (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 5/2/2024: 7-6 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 5/1/2024: 1-0 CHC (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)
• 4/30/2024: 4-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)
• 4/29/2024: 3-1 CHC (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 8/9/2023: 4-3 NYM (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 8/8/2023: 3-2 CHC (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)

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